Wagering on the totals in the NFL gives bettors another option to get exposure on a particular team or game. Team trends on offense and defense play a big part in where oddsmakers set the opening lines. There are also ways to bet on team totals or first half (total or team total). This year, significant trends on the under have manifested as several teams have dealt with key injuries on offense. Nevertheless, it’s time to look at the NFL Week 13 best bets and predictions, featuring some Ravens odds and a bold Jaguars prediction.
There are three games we have targeted this week for totals plays and they all have strong statistical trends that back the direction of the play. The trend on the Broncos low scoring games should continue with a great matchup for the Ravens and another shootout in Detroit with the Lions against the Jaguars.
NFL Week 13 Best Bets for Game and Team Totals
Broncos-Ravens (Ravens -8, 38.5)
The gift that keeps on giving is the Broncos UNDER which is 10-1, including 5-1 on the road. They are 32nd in points per game (14.3) and 3rd in points per game allowed (17.6). They have the biggest disparity in offensive yards vs. defensive yards allowed per game (25th offense, 3rd defense). In their last seven games, the total score has averaged 31 points. According to reports, Russell Wilson was almost benched last week against the Panthers.
The Ravens are 4-1 to the UNDER in five home games averaging 34.5 points in their last four. The biggest edge the Ravens have in this game is they are second in rushing yards per game and going against a Broncos defense which ranks 19th in rushing yards allowed.
Look for plenty of field goals in this game with Justin Tucker and Brandon McManus (1st and 10th in field goals made). Continue to bet on Broncos games going UNDER until these totals reach 34 or less.
Ravens 22, Broncos 13
Bears-Jets NFL Week 12 Best Bet: UNDER 38.5 (DraftKings -110)
Jaguars-Lions (Jaguars -1, 51.5)
Lions’ games going over the total for the game or first half have been printing money all season. The Lions are 4-2 to the OVER in their six home games and 7-4 overall in 11 games. The Jaguars are 4-1 to the OVER in their five road games. With the exception of the 15-9 win against the Packers, the Lions average scores at home have been 68 points!!! The Jaguars have averaged a total of 51 points per game in five road games.
The Lions rank 32nd in points allowed, 30th in rushing yards allowed, 29th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. The Jaguars offense is starting to develop as they are 9th in rushing and 13th in passing. Both teams are very evenly matched when looking at DVOA (Lions – 12th on offense, 24th on defense; Jaguars – 14th on offense, 26th on defense). Betting overs has not been easy in 2022, but when you have two strong offenses along with weak defenses the recipe has cashed.
Jaguars 33, Lions 30
Jaguars-Lions NFL Week 13 Best Bet: OVER 51.5 (DraftKings -110)
Chiefs-Bengals (Chiefs -2.5, 52.5)
The Chiefs have gone OVER the total in four out of five road games. The only game that went under was the Colts when they had their top three wide receivers out and the score was 20-17. The Chiefs also blew several red zone opportunities in that game. Both teams rank toward the top in several offensive categories. The Bengals are fifth in scoring and fourth in passing yards while the Chiefs are first in scoring and passing yards. Both defenses are in the middle of the pack so they will not be able to slow down either offense. Before last week’s game against Tennessee, the Bengals had posted 30, 35, 13 (first game without Ja’Marr Chase), 42, and 37 points.
This game has all the making of a classic shootout and outcome from their games last season which were 34-31 and 27-24 Bengals.
Bengals 34, Chiefs 31
Chiefs-Bengals NFL Week 13 Best Bet:OVER 52.5 (DraftKings -110)
