The article below will preview the Week 11 Panthers vs. Ravens game and provide some of the best bets to make according to the tools available at OddsShopper. In turn, let’s continue our NFL odds series by using the data to make multiple Panthers-Ravens predictions and picks. We’ll also let you know how to watch the Panthers-Ravens game.
The Ravens are in first place and looking to maintain their edge ahead of the Cincinnati Bengals. The Panthers are trying to build off of a win and stay out of last place in their division.
Let’s dive into the matchup and see what could happen!
Panthers-Ravens Odds – How To Watch Panthers-Ravens
The Panthers Are Disappointing All-Around
This has been a disappointing season for the Carolina Panthers. Offensively, they are 29th best in Total DVOA: 32nd in passing and 11th in rushing. Defensively, it isn't much better as they are 25th best in Total DVOA: 27th against the pass and 22nd against the run.
Translating to more straightforward stats, the Panthers average 294.2 yards per game which is the second-lowest in the league. They are 28th best in Passing Yards per Game and 16th best in Rushing Yards per Game. They average just 5.3 yards per play, which is the 20th-best.
D'Onta Foreman has taken over the lead-back role. He has 91 carries for 426 yards and four touchdowns. Just last week, he had 31 carries for 130 yards and one touchdown. His production has been the bright spot on this offense recently.
The Quarterback position has been erratic. Baker Mayfield is completing 56.6% of his passes for six touchdowns, and four interceptions in six games played. PJ Walker won the job and started last week, but is injured and not going to make the start against the Ravens.
DJ Moore is by far the leader in targets with 77 out of 277 total targets for a 27.8% target share. Still, those 77 targets have translated to just 39 receptions for 478 yards and three touchdowns in 10 games played.
Defensively, the Panthers allow 362.4 yards per game which is the 25th-best in the league. They struggle to get pressure on the quarterback, averaging just 1.9 sacks per game -- tied with Arizona for 24th best.
While being average to above average in rushing offense, this team is towards the bottom of the league in their pass offense, overall offense, and defense.
Ravens Look To Stay In First Place
The Ravens have a good offense and an average defense. Offensively, their Total DVOA is third-best with passing being third and rushing being first.
Lamar Jackson is the key to the entire offense and continues to put up video game numbers. He has taken all of the snaps at Quarterback and has completed 62.3% of his passes for 1768 yards, 16 touchdowns, and six interceptions in nine games played. Jackson is also the leading rusher with a team-high 86 rushes for 635 yards and two touchdowns.
Mark Andrews is the top target in this offense. He has 64 targets for a 26.2% target share for 488 yards and five touchdowns in eight games played. Devin Duvernay is second on the team with just a 13.5% target share. There are some big-play threats in this offense, but Andrews is clearly Jackson's go-to guy.
Defensively, this team is average. They are 12th in total defensive DVOA: 11th against the pass and 19th against the run.
Panthers-Ravens Prediction
It would make sense for the Panthers to have a game plan that centered around running the ball. The Panthers run the ball well, and the weakness in this Ravens defense is stopping the run. If the Panthers can slow the pace of the game down and have success on the ground, they have a chance to stay in the game.
The Ravens are far too good offensively for this Panthers' defense. Lamar Jackson figures to have a big game here, and there is not much the Panthers will be able to do to stop him. The Ravens are third in Passing DVOA while the Panthers are 27th in Defensive Pass DVOA. The Ravens are first in Rush DOVA while the Panthers are 22nd in Defensive Rush DVOA.
Looking at OddsShopper, the game lines are right on. The best game line to bet on is Panthers +13.0 points, which has a 51% chance of winning and 0% expected ROI in the long term. The Panthers First Quarter Money Line at +265 is equally good with a 27% chance of winning with a 0% expected ROI in the long term.
Switching to Prop Bets and using the Stokastic Projection System, the best bets are: D'Onta Foreman UNDER 56.5 rushing yards, Ian Thomas OVER 4.5 Receiving Yards, Baker Mayfield OVER 0.5 Passing Touchdowns, and Lamar Jackson OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns.
Best Panthers-Ravens Prediction And Bets: Panthers +13 (-105), WynnBET; Panthers First Quarter Moneyline (+265), DraftKings
How To Watch Panthers-Ravens: FOX (local)
