The Tennessee Titans got a big home win in the first start for rookie quarterback Will Levis, but they have lost two road games since. They’ll stay on the road this Sunday. Let’s dive into the Titans-Jaguars player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 11, which is a bet on Will Levis. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our NFL player prop bets, our NFL betting tools or our NFL betting promos!
Titans-Jaguars Player Prop Bet for Week 11
Titans-Jaguars Player Prop Pick for Will Levis
You may not care much about rookie quarterback Will Levis, but he has started his NFL career off relatively well. He scored a five-point home win over the Atlanta Falcons in his debut for the Titans. Of course, Tennessee has since dropped two games, one to the Pittsburgh Steelers and another to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, both of which came on the road. Levis attempted exactly 39 passes in both defeats. He threw only 29 times back in his lone win. Let’s see what OddsShopper’s model thinks about his props:
As you can see, some books are higher on Levis’ projected volume than others. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has his total pass attempts prop set to 32.5 with the over priced at -131. FanDuel is close behind with the total at the same number and the over priced at -130. Some other public books have the total listed at 33.5 with the juice relatively balanced. However, BetMGM has the over 32.5 priced at an off-market -105. OddsShopper’s model has the “true odds,” or the estimated win rate, of this wager set at -114, so we’re getting a solid deal over at BetMGM. If you haven’t signed up over there, check out our BetMGM bonus code for free OddsShopper Premium and your first bet paid back as a bonus bet up to $1,500!
If you’re still skeptical about this wager, there are a few other factors that point to passing volume aplenty for Levis. For one, the Titans are touchdown underdogs to the Jaguars, so they’ll likely employ a pass-heavy game script as they play from behind. The Titans are also on the road, where Levis is yet to attempt fewer than 39 passes. Lastly, though Tennessee was once known as a run-first team, the regression of Derrick Henry has led their passing play percentage to jump from 50.9% to 57.9% this year — and to 60.3% with Levis under center.
Best Titans-Jaguars Player Prop: Will Levis Over 32.5 Pass Attempts -105 at BetMGM
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