The Harbaugh brother trilogy is closing out Week 12 with a bang on Monday Night Football. Ravens-Chargers — what more could we ask for? We have sides, props and touchdowns to dive into, so let’s get to it with our Week 12 MNF best bets for Ravens-Chargers. Don’t miss our NFL player prop betting strategy guide — or explore even more free NFL expert picks and +EV NFL bets!
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Week 12 Monday Night Football Best Bets for Ravens-Chargers
The Ravens are 2.5-point road favorites, and the game has a 50.5-point total. The Chargers are 7-3 straight up and against the spread this season, covering in all seven of their wins. Baltimore, on the other hand, is 9-2 to the over, having been involved in shootouts all year.
The Chargers defense has looked good on paper but has faced some weak competition. Even against tougher matchups, like Cincinnati last week, cracks began to show. Los Angeles gave up 27 points and leaned heavily on J.K. Dobbins to salvage the game.
If this game were still sitting at 3 points, I’d lean Chargers. At 2.5, I lean Ravens. Either way, it’s a coin flip. What we can count on is that this game should be a fun one, with two top-tier coaches squaring off and plenty of firepower on both sides.
For me, it’s a small play on over 50.5. Baltimore’s pass defense has struggled, and the Chargers are passing at a much higher rate now that Justin Herbert is healthy. Combine that with Baltimore’s inability to stop the pass and a high total, and we could see points piling up on both sides.
Week 12 MNF Best Bet: Ravens-Chargers Over 50.5 (-105, ESPN BET)
Best NFL Player Prop Bet for Monday Night Football
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Dissly has taken over as the Chargers’ primary pass-catching tight end, with a 20% target share over the last six games. He’s seen 37 targets in that span — more than all other Chargers tight ends combined.
The Ravens are a major pass-funnel defense, allowing 67 receiving yards per game to tight ends, one of the worst marks in the league. Dissly is averaging over 31 pass attempts per game during this stretch, and his 26% target rate on routes run makes him a strong play.
Best NFL Player Prop Bet: Will Dissly Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
This one’s all about value. FanDuel has this prop sitting at 25.5 yards, while Pinnacle and other books have it down to 22.5. Edwards has been largely ineffective outside of one game and played just 11 snaps last week.
Baltimore’s defense allows only 3.4 yards per carry, the best mark in the league. With limited volume and a tough matchup, this under looks solid.
Best NFL Player Prop Bet: Gus Edwards Under 25.5 Rushing Yards
Best MNF Touchdown Bets
Quentin Johnston Anytime Touchdown (+240)
Here’s my favorite touchdown bet for tonight. Johnston leads the Chargers with 13 red zone targets in his last eight games — more than double any other player. He also has five end zone targets in that span, making him their go-to option near the goal line.
The Ravens have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this year (16). At +240 on FanDuel, this is a +EV play and the best touchdown value on the board.
