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Categories MLB

Best Giants-Dodgers MLB Bet & Prediction: Dodgers’ Hitting Overvalued (September 24)

Updated September 24, 2023 | 11:03 am CDT by Adam Peri
The best Giants-Dodgers MLB prediction, picks and bets to know for Monday is an MLB bet on a hits prop with odds of...

The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers battle for California on Sunday Night Baseball. San Francisco won Game 1 of the series. The Dodgers bounced back for a 7-0 shutout win in Game 2. Let’s dive into Sunday night’s Giants-Dodgers odds and use the OddsShopper model to make a pick and find the best MLB bet.

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Best MLB Giants-Dodgers Bet & Prediction: Max Muncy

Giants-Dodgers Odds, via BetRivers
Giants: +163 | Dodgers: -195
Giants +1.5: -132 | Dodgers -1.5: +108
Over 9.5: -103 | Under 9.5: -113

At 95-59, the Dodgers are playoff bound for the eleventh straight season. The only question mark heading into the last week of the year is if the Dodgers can hit triple digit wins. They’ll look to do so with Lance Lynn on the mound on Sunday.

Lynn was acquired at the trade deadline to bring a veteran presence to a Dodgers pitching staff that features several rookies and second year arms. Now 36 years old, Lynn is nearing the final stages of his career. The age has shown up in Lynn’s 5.92 ERA and 1.41 ERA in 2023. Still, Lynn can miss bats, striking out 181 batters across 171.2 IP this year. Sunday night should be one of his final tune ups before the playoffs.

It’s unclear who will face off against Lynn for the Giants. Ryan Walker is currently listed as the opener, but he is unlikely to pitch more than a couple innings. Walker has been solid out of the Giants’ bullpen this year. He has a 3.20 ERA and has whiffed 71 batters in 52 IP. He threw thirty pitches in his last outing against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. That pitch number is near his high this year. If Walker gets the nod as the opener, expect Ross Stripling or Alex Wood to come in behind him.

It makes sense for the Giants to go with one of those veterans given the state of their season. They can’t make the playoffs and have little reason to wear out ant of their young arms. That said, the team won’t let this rivalry be ignored, and they would definitely love to take the rubber match of this three-game set in Los Angeles. The Giants are 77-78, so it would give them an even .500 record.

There is definitely a bit of value to going under on Dodgers’ hitter MLB prop bets if the Giants pitching can come through. OddsShopper’s model is identifying the best value on Max Muncy to go under on hit or runs. MLB bettors can grab Max Muncy under 0.5 hits at BetRivers at +155. The Giants-Dodgers bet has true odds of +145 and a win rate of 41%. That gives it 4% positive expected value and makes it worth staking just under 1% of your bankroll if you’re using the full Kelly Criterion.

Best Giants-Dodgers MLB Bet: Max Muncy Under 0.5 Hits (+155) at BetRivers

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