It is Friday, September 16th and all 30 MLB teams are in action tonight. With no NFL and a limited college football slate, this is a great time to dig into some MLB action. There are so many exciting games going on like Twins vs. Guardians, Phillies vs. Braves, Yankees vs. Brewers and Dodgers vs. Giants. There are many places to go for the best MLB prop bets today.
If there is a game or a spot you are excited about, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000.
This article will have the best picks according to Stokastic models to give you the best chance to win. OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks, giving helpful tips for making MLB prop bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Expert Betting Picks 9/16
Robbie Ray O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Robbie Ray has a 28% strikeout rate and faces the Los Angeles Angels tonight. He averages 1.13 strikeouts per inning, so reaching seven strikeouts would take 6.1 innings pitched. He has gone over this total in 14-of-28 starts, including all three times he has faced the Angels. He also has 10 strikeouts per start against the Angels. Does he have something on the Angels or is this a case of variance in a small sample size? The Sharp Sportsbook Lines projection at OddsShopper gives the under a positive expected ROI.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Robbie Ray UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Ranger Suarez O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Ranger Suarez pitches to the Atlanta Braves tonight. Suarez has a 20.0% strikeout rate and averages 0.85 strikeouts per inning. On average, it would take him six innings to reach five strikeouts. He has gone over this total in 11-of-25 starts this year. Atlanta has the 16th highest strikeout rate to left-handed pitchers, so this matchup does not provide a boost or suppression of strikeouts either. Against the Braves, he has gone over this total once in 6.2 innings pitched and stayed under this total two other times in 4.1 and 5.0 innings pitched. The under is more likely than the over tonight.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Ranger Suarez UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-118)
Triston McKenzie O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Triston McKenzie pitches to the Minnesota Twins tonight. McKenzie has a 24.8% strikeout rate and averages 0.96 strikeouts per inning. To reach six strikeouts, it would take 6.1 innings pitched. The Twins also have the 16th highest strikeout rate to right-handed pitchers this season. In his most recent start, which was against Minnesota, McKenzie pitched seven innings and logged five strikeouts. In his four starts against Minnesota, he has gone over this total once. He has 21 strikeouts in 24.1 innings pitched. The under is an expected positive ROI pick tonight.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Triston McKenzie UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Cal Raleigh Home Run | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Cal Raleigh will bat against Michael Lorenzen and the Angels bullpen tonight. Raleigh is an old-school power hitter with a low .277 OBP but a high .267 ISO as he has 23 home runs in 372 plate appearances this season. Lorenzen has a 4.53 xFIP, allows 1.06 HR/9 and has a hard-hit allowed rate of 37.7%. This bet is a positive expected ROI one according to the Sharp Sportsbook Lines odds at OddsShopper.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Cal Raleigh Home Run (+430)
Trey Mancini O/U 0.5 Total Bases | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Trey Mancini will face Adrian Martinez and the Oakland A’s bullpen in their game tonight. Martinez has a 4.29 xFIP, allows 1.63 HR/9 and has a hard-hit allowed rate of 40.6%. Any Astros player is someone to consider for batting prop bets tonight. Mancini is pretty juiced but at 0.5 total bases, it is difficult to pass up. This season Mancini is batting .253, and because Martinez only strikes out 17.9% of batters, he allows quite a bit of contact.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Trey Mancini OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-188)
