Tuesday’s represent massive MLB slates and tonight is no different. With 12 games on the main slate, the 10x parlay features the top ROI bets in the market based on simulations from Stokastic’s team of data scientists. These parlays are built to exceed at least 10 times the initial bet. This piece will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.
MLB Picks and Parlays Today 8/30
Logan Webb O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The struggling San Francisco Giants will turn to their team leader in innings, Logan Webb, to slow down the San Diego Padres lineup. In his fourth season with the Giants, Webb has an impressive 11-7 record and a 3.33 ERA. Webb surrenders a very low 5.5% barrel percentage, which allows him to pitch deep into games. The only downside is his 19.9% strikeout rate, but don’t be fooled by that — this prop line is simply too low. He has struck out four or more in 17 of his 26 starts this season and in six of his last nine starts.
Facing the Padres new constructed lineup may be intimidating, but there are strikeouts still to be had. Stokastic projects Webb for 4.6 strikeouts in this spot, giving him an xWin rate of 68% to reach this over. This prop has by far the highest chance of hitting in this 10x parlay.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Logan Webb OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-149)
Framber Valdez O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Houston Astros left-hander Framber Valdez will look to continue his hot streak of a 5-0 record in his last six starts. Going on the road against the Texas Rangers is not as easy as it may seem. At least in the month of August, the Rangers rank inside the top 10 in runs scored and middle of the pack in strikeout rate. Valdez may still notch another victory on his belt, as the Rangers are only implied for 3.4 runs and Valdez is a -165 favorite, but getting to seven or more strikeouts seems like a steep mountain to climb. After all, Valdez only has a 22.4% strikeout rate this season.
Stokastic projects Valdez to get exactly six strikeouts in this matchup. The Rangers also hit left-handed pitching extremely well, as they rank third in ISO, seventh in wOBA and only 16th in strikeout rate. This is a tougher spot than it may seem for Valdez to rack up strikeouts.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Framber Valdez UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (-125)
Max Fried O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The first prop to pop up on OddsShopper’s MLB page is Atlanta Braves southpaw Max Fried over 5.5 strikeouts against the Colorado Rockies. Fried leads the Braves with a 2.52 ERA and has a very impressive 12-4 record. He has won back-to-back games while getting over this prop line in each start.
Getting the Rockies away from Coors Field is a massive advantage. They are a completely different team away from the best hitting park in the major leagues. At home, the Rockies have a .169 ISO, a league-leading .348 wOBA and a 19% strikeout rate. The story is a little different on the road, where they have a .109 ISO, .282 wOBA and a 22.6% strikeout rate. Their ISO and wOBA on the road are the second-worst road splits in the league. To help the over even more, Fried has a lower ERA and higher strikeout rate when pitching at home. This is a fantastic spot for Fried, as the Rockies are implied for a slate-low 2.9 runs and there is plenty of juice on this over.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Max Fried OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+115)
Brady Singer O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Kansas City Royals young right-hander Brady Singer has been impressive in his third season in the major leagues. He has a career-high 25.6% strikeout rate and is the only starter on the staff who has a winning record (7-4). Even more impressively, he has a winning record when the Royals are 25 games below .500. Singer leads the team in wins and strikeouts as he draws a road matchup against the struggling White Sox, who have lost 9 of their last 11 games. The White Sox are not typically a high-strikeout team, but Singer has been so impressive lately that this prop is impossible to ignore, with the value of +125 on the over. In his last 10 starts, Singer is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per game and has gone over this strikeout prop in 8 of those 10 starts. Stokastic projects Singer for 5.6 strikeouts, just above this 5.5 prop line. This prop is incredible value for a pitcher who is clicking on all cylinders right now.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Brady Singer OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+125)
