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Categories NBA

Best Pelicans-Raptors Player Prop: Will Trey Murphy Erupt? (February 23)

February 22, 2023 | 6:35 PM by Isaiah Sirois
FREE Portfolio Of The Day: Best +EV NBA Bets Today (Feb. 28)

The NBA will finally make its return from the All-Star Break on Thursday night. A stacked 10-game card awaits fans and bettors alike. The New Orleans Pelicans will get back in action with a road game against the Toronto Raptors, and bettors hunting out the best bets for Pelicans-Raptors should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings. Too much value remains on the Trey Murphy III player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

Best Pelicans-Raptors NBA Player Prop | Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Prop O/U 11.5 Points

One of the key cogs in New Orleans’ rotation without Zion Williamson, second-year wing Trey Murphy III stepped up in his last contest against the Toronto Raptors. He hit a whopping six 3-pointers and scored 26 points. Although he’ll likely see lower usage with Brandon Ingram back in the lineup, backing Murphy to cash the over on this NBA player prop makes for a sharp wager.

Toronto’s defense has struggled against perimeter shooters this year, especially those who can hit triples from the corner. The Raptors have allowed the second-most corner 3’s per game (4.3) on the seventh-highest shooting percentage (40.6%). That will help Murphy more than anyone else in New Orleans’ rotation, as the wing leads the Pelicans in corner 3’s made (0.6) and attempted (1.5) per game.

Ingram’s return to the lineup should free up Murphy on the perimeter with extra frequency. Since Ingram’s first game back on Jan. 25, Murphy has averaged 2.3 3-pointers and 13.6 points per game. He had been averaging slightly fewer makes (2.2) and far fewer points (10.3) before then. Murphy should exploit the Raptors for two to three triples and do his usual work on the interior, helping him go over a number he has beaten in 34 of his 56 appearances this year (60.7%).

Not every book is taking player-prop action on Trey Murphy III quite yet. However, the over sits at -125 (55.5%), which is worse than Murphy’s raw hit rate this season. Readers should head to DraftKings Sportsbook to lock in that price before it moves. Those of you who are yet to register at DraftKings can secure $150 with a winning $5 moneyline wager!

Best NBA Pelicans-Raptors Player Prop: Trey Murphy III Over 11.5 Points (-125 for 0.62 Unit) at DraftKings

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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