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Categories NBA

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions Today: Jamal Murray Assist Spike (March 21)

Updated March 21, 2024 | 2:51 pm CDT by Eytan Shander
The top Underdog Fantasy NBA pick'em predictions for Thursday's slate includes a play on Jamal Murray as he will...

We have seven juicy games in the NBA tonight and some fantastic angles for DraftKings Pick6. Let’s be honest, your bracket is already busted, so the value comes in watching and winning in the pro game. Be it Denver looking for revenge over the Knicks or the Suns seeking something similar with the visiting Hawks, there’s some extra motivation across the league.

Looking for more NBA pick’em advice? Check out the rest of our NBA articles or our NBA pick’em tools. You can also read our guide to DraftKings Pick6.

Here’s the lowdown on DraftKings Pick6: It is meant to mirror most pick’em sites, allowing you to build a two- to six-leg entry with larger payouts for more correct choices. However, the new product is peer-to-peer, meaning the strategy lies in beating other players in pre-selected tournaments rather than beating the house, making it important to be contrarian!

New to DraftKings Pick6? Place a $5+ entry and get $50 in DraftKings Pick6 credits instantly by clicking here!

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DraftKings Pick6 Predictions Today – NBA Slate

Jamal Murray M/L 7.5 Assists

A recent spike in dimes from Murray has moved this assist line north of seven. We’ve seen some explosions in the assists market from Murray as recently as Tuesday against the Timberwolves. The issue comes with tonight’s opponent regardless of them playing the Knicks in Denver. New York is 3-0 against the spread in the last three against the Nuggets and has won four straight.

While Murray has seen a recent increase in passing performance, this game warrants more of a scoring mode for the Nuggets point guard. Denver could certainly blow out the Knicks, especially with some revenge on the line. The OddsShopper pick’em tool now features DraftKings Pick6, allowing us to find exceptional value by going less than 7.5 assists for Murray. The true odds sit at -167, while the implied odds for Pick6 are -136. This is a massive edge in beating the market price.

DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Jamal Murray LESS Than 7.5 Assists

Wendell Carter Jr. M/L 12.5 Points

The Magic enter tonight’s game against the visiting Pelicans as 3-point dogs. Neither of these teams is showing much weakness. Both have won eight of their last 10, riding win streaks of at least three games, and are two of the biggest surprise teams in their respective conferences. In a game with a tight spread featuring two good teams, all Carter needs to do is score 13 points to cover.

Not so fast. While the Magic are winning games, that hasn’t translated into more shots for Carter. Even in two straight games against bad teams, Carter was limited to six and eight shots. That’s just not going to get it done against this frontcourt in New Orleans. This is a tough matchup for one of the lesser scoring options for the Magic, especially if Orlando finds a way to win this game.

The true odds from OddsShopper put this at -159, as we get the break knowing the implied odds are only -136 for Carter. That +EV spot is always worth attacking, especially when the numbers help support the play.

DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Wendell Carter Jr. LESS Than 12.5 Points



Bradley Beal M/L 5.5 Assists

The Suns are healthy, and Grayson Allen is unconscious from deep. This team dealt with the normal issues of throwing together three really good players and the injuries that came after. Now finally healthy, it takes on a Raptors team that’s won four straight over Phoenix. The Suns got a big bonus Thursday night against the 76ers as Kevin Durant continued his assault on the all-time scoring list, but for tonight that should shift back to both Devin Booker and Bradley Beal.

The latter comes off a bad shooting night where Beal only hit one of his six field goal attempts. Of course, with Allen knocking down 3’s from everywhere and Durant unstoppable from the floor, Beal didn’t need to do much but pass and rebound. Don’t expect a similar game plan tonight against the Raptors, no matter how weak or dead Toronto may seem. Beal should turn around his poor shooting performance, limiting some passing opportunities in the process. With more points comes fewer assists, at least not getting him to six dimes.

The true odds on OddsShopper put this play at -152, so there is a clear edge between that and the -136 implied odds. The benefit of having a pick’em tool like this allows for finding +EV spots in the market to attack for profit. This is a perfect example, especially as Pick6 players will rush to slam the over, thinking Beal won’t need to score more and just pass. We know that to be the opposite tonight against the Raptors.

DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Bradley Beal LESS Than 5.5 Assists

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OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions or random Jamal Murray data? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

Categories NBA
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Eytan Shander

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Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

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