The Dallas Mavericks (12-11) will face off against the Denver Nuggets (14-9) Tuesday night at Ball Arena. The Mavericks come into tonight’s game off a huge home win against Phoenix Suns 130-111 Monday night. The Nuggets are on a two-game losing streak having lost to the Hawks and Pelicans on the road. These two teams have met twice already this season with both games in Dallas. They split both games with a 127-99 win by the Mavericks and a 98-97 win by the Nuggets on November 18th and 20th. This column will highlight the Mavericks-Nuggets prediction and picks, highlighting Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic . Be sure to visit the OddsShopper tool for more NBA best bets and odds.
NBA Odds: Mavs-Nuggets Odds
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This line opened Nuggets -4.5 in a game with a total of 223 which has moved to 222.5. Michael Porter Jr. is listed as out with a left heel strain for the Nuggets. Dallas is not reporting any injuries for tonight’s game. Bettors should head to DraftKings Sportsbook to tail the following Mavs-Nuggets predictions.
Mavs Coming off Best Win of Season
The Mavericks started off 6-3, then proceeded to go 3-7 before turning it around winning three out of their last four including the 19-point home win against the Suns last night. They had a brutal road stretch of three games in a row against the Bucks, Celtics, and Raptors losing all of them. The emergence of Tim Hardaway who is averaging 23.2 points in the last four games has been a key factor in the Mavericks’ success.
Despite having a 12-11 record, the Mavs rank 7th in both adjusted offense and defense (5th overall). They also play at the 2nd slowest pace in the NBA. They are just 2-8 on the road. Dallas is 7-15-1 against the spread and 3-7 ATS on the road.
Nuggets Strong at Home Early On
Denver has had an unbalanced schedule so far with 15 games on the road, but only eight at home but still have a solid record at 14-9 which is 4th in the West. They are 6-2 at home and a respectable 8-7 on the road. They are 5-3 against the spread at home and 11-12 ATS overall. The UNDER is 6-2 in the eight Denver home games.
The Nuggets rank 5th in adjusted offense, 26th in adjusted defense and 14th in adjusted net rating. The Nuggets are the best team in the NBA in terms of field-goal percentage and rank 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage.
Final Mavericks-Nuggets Prediction & Pick
Both teams have significant point differentials at home versus road with Dallas +7.5 at home and -2.7 on the road while Denver is +11.0 at home and -4.1 on the road. Add in the back-to-back factor on the Mavericks side along with the Nuggets depth and the Nuggets as slight home favorites is the play tonight. With the Mavericks slow pace and Nuggets strong trends on the UNDER at home, you can piggyback this game with Nuggets plus the UNDER.
Final Mavs-Nuggets Prediction: Nuggets -4.5 (DraftKings -110); UNDER 223 (DraftKings -110)
