“Fade the public!” is one of the most common refrains in sports betting. However, bettors have to know exactly where to look if they want to identify the teams that everyone but the sharps are targeting. With a four-game slate on tap, here are the key NBA betting splits and public teams for tonight’s action.
Public NBA Betting Splits | Dec. 15
Bucks-Grizzlies Betting Splits: Sharps on Memphis & Under
The sharps have two clear sides in this one: they’re on the Grizzlies and the under. Memphis has drawn a whopping 77% of the cash according to Pregame — and on only 57% of the tickets. VSiN, which tracks bets placed at DraftKings, reports that the Grizzlies have attracted 80% of the handle on just 52% of the tickets.
The totals market features even more blatant NBA betting splits. This game’s total opened at 227 but has been bid down only slightly to 226.5. According to Pregame, 81% of the cash has come in backing the under on only 36% of the tickets. VSiN reports that 66% of the handle has come in on the under on just 32% of the tickets.
Best Bucks-Grizzlies Bet: Tail the Sharps
Heat-Rockets Betting Splits: Public Buying the Over
The Miami Heat continue to deal with a number of injuries. Kyle Lowry will miss tonight’s game, and Bam Adebayo is questionable. They’ll face the Houston Rockets on the road this evening, and the public expects a high-scoring game. Well — at least a higher-scoring game than the total of 217.5 suggests.
VSiN reports that 70% of the bets have come in on the over. However, those bets account for only 55% of the money. Likewise, Pregame reports that 78% of the bets have come on on the over — but only 43% of the cash! Bettors should fade the public and back the under.
Best Bucks-Grizzlies Bet: Fade the Public
Suns-Clippers Betting Splits: Most Money on the Under
The LA Clippers ruled Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Reggie Jackson out for tonight’s contest. The Clippers had just beaten the Minnesota Timberwolves in a close, low-scoring affair last night, so the fact that some of their veterans are resting should come as no surprise. The spread has moved against LA by more than five points, and the total has fallen by two.
According to pregame, 73% of the cash has come in on the under on just 40% of the tickets. VSiN shows conflicting numbers that may not have indexed for bets made leading up to and after the news about LA’s star players. Bettors shouldn’t chase a worse number than what the sharps bought, especially when the above bets remain on the board.
Best Bucks-Grizzlies Bet: Avoid, Value is Gone
