The NBA is back in full force. After a lean week with NBA Cup action, we see an eight-game schedule to satisfy our thirst. With so many blowouts this slate has just two of the six with double-digit spreads, including the Cavaliers laying a ridiculous 17 at home against the Wizards. The Grizzlies look for their 18th win on the young season as 10-point home favorites against the Nets. Here are your top NBA player prop picks for Friday night from Portfolio EV.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Friday, Dec. 13
Last season, we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on our NBA expert picks. Find more +EV betting results here!
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today
Through 49 days, I’m up over 80 units betting the NBA. It’s all documented on my Road to 100 and on Pikkit. I’m using Portfolio EV each night to get down as much action as possible, all while staying within my suggested allotment of bankroll. That’s another key focus, especially following either huge or devastating stretches. If you are following me, you know I’ve had both in the past two weeks.
You’ve probably seen the saying on gambling X: Never too high, never too low. There’s no better representation of how to spend your bankroll than that slogan. Variance comes in all forms, and you might ride a hot streak a little longer this time, or maybe that funk seems a little deeper.
Don’t chase the feeling, no matter how high or low that is. Portfolio EV has a suggested tab for bet size; follow that as much as you can.
Our top bet on the night is Devin Booker under 2.5 3-pointers, best bet at DraftKings for +120. It’s 9 cents better than the +111 true odds and even better when matched against other books. It took me about 15 seconds to log on and go to my portfolio page, only to find Booker right at the top.
It’s vital that we find the right odds before we place any wager. The market-based approach via Portfolio EV ensures we are doing that through the EV edge and historical ROI (HROI). Booker’s bet yields a 4.2% EV edge, which can be rather substantial over time. This is the long-term value we search for every night with player props.
The NBA has a bunch of markets available each night. Sometimes it’s fading a popular name in a popular market like Anthony Edwards shooting 3’s, or it’s a smaller market that might be lesser bet pending the player, Bradley Beal under 3.5 assists. There’s edge, and OddsShopper is going to find it.
Take a look at the Beal and Edwards props, along with the D’Angelo Russell bet at the bottom. Don’t let the -145 scare you, especially after seeing the difference between that and the -155 true odds. I’m playing all four.
This is the easiest way to build a bankroll, to profit long term. Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NBA player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month.
