Shoutout to Underdog for keeping their projections sharp — there aren’t many obvious +EV opportunities on this NBA Cup slate. Luckily, the Underdog Fantasy Optimizer is here to dig up the best money-making spots. We’ve got some standout NBA Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions for you today, starting with Myles Turner.
On top of that, our NBA expert picks and Portfolio EV plays have been delivering big wins all season. Don’t just take our word for it—check out the full early-season EV Results and see the success for yourself!
NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today
Finding Standard Underdog entries that are both +EV and manageable in terms of picks can be a challenge. Sure, those six-pick entries with a 10% +EV are fantastic for long-term gains, but they can feel a bit frustrating on a nightly grind.
This slate might not be packed with expected value, but the entry below stands out as the best option by far. Let’s dive in!
Myles Turner Less Than 16.5 Points
Turner’s 15.7 points per game this year are not way off from his recent marks, but his effective field goal percentage is at a five-year low. And even with Indiana missing a few players from its top 6, Turner has topped 16.5 points only once in his last six games.
In fact, he’s only 6-for-19 on this over in 2024-25. Frankly, I’m not sure why this number is set at 16.5 for Turner with the Raptors being a pace down for the Paces. This is a solid lower play, with Turner having a 55% chance of falling shy of 16.5 points.
Ivica Zubac Less Than 15.5 Points
In terms of averages and projections, Zubac falls into essentially the same boat as Turner. The only difference is that Zubac has actually gone higher than his projection in recent games.
Zubac is 4-for-5 on higher than 15.5 points recently, and he has dropped 16-plus in over half his games this season. That said, at least some of Zubac’s scoring uptick in the last few games has been due to Norman Powell being out.
Well, Powell is back now, and he dropped 28 last game. Zubac went for 6 whole points. This is a big shift in points allocation, so we’re going with Zubac less than 15.5 at a 55% expected win rate.
Jordan Poole Less than 21.5 Points
You rarely go broke if playing Poole to underperform expectations. However, with Kyle Kuzma out, there is quite a wide swath of potential outcomes for the Wizards tonight.
Looking at Poole’s game log gives you whiplash: 22 points, then 8 points, then 23, then 8 again, then 31. Literally, he could drop 50 tonight and it would seem normal. Poole could go 2-for-18 and I would say, “yeah, sounds about right.”
Stokastic’s NBA stat projections have him at 19.8 points, which is leading to a 55% chance of Poole scoring 21 or fewer. We’re grabbing that side here.
This puts the total Underdog NBA entry at a 16% chance of winning 6x in the form of a Standard play. Be sure to check out our Underdog Fantasy Optimizer for more +EV NBA expert picks — it’s your best shot at winning pick’em slates.
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