Tuesday’s NBA slate features a pair of Play-In games, but we’ll focus on one in particular. Let’s take a look at a pair of props for tonight’s games with my two favorite NBA Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions.
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Underdog Fantasy NBA Pick’em Predictions Today
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Stephen Curry H/L Than 5.5 3-Pointers Made
Stop me if you’ve heard this before — betting the under on Stephen Curry’s three-pointers made prop is never fun.
But despite being the greatest shooter of all time, there’s value in fading him here. Curry is averaging 4.4 made threes on 11.2 attempts this season, and while he’s bumped that up to 5.1 makes per game this month, that average is inflated by a ridiculous 12-for-20 outing against his opponent tonight — the Memphis Grizzlies.
That kind of outburst is the exception, not the rule. Memphis is much stronger defensively than they showed in that game. They rank 5th in defensive effective field goal percentage and 13th in opponent 3-point percentage.
This is a Play-In game, so expect elevated intensity — especially on the perimeter, where Memphis will key in on limiting Curry’s looks. Some books have already moved this number down to 4.5, so let’s take advantage of the higher line while it’s available.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Stephen Curry Lower Than 5.5 3-Pointers Made
Ja Morant H/L Than 2.5 3-Pointers Made
For our second wager, we’re sticking with this same matchup and fading another star — this time it’s Ja Morant’s three-point prop.
This one feels a bit safer. Morant isn’t exactly known for his outside shooting, and we’re betting on that trend to hold tonight by taking under 2.5 threes.
On the season, Morant averaged just 1.8 made threes on 5.7 attempts. Like Curry, his numbers have jumped in April — up to 3.8 makes on 9.2 attempts — but that spike feels unsustainable.
Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections have Morant staying under this number. Yes, Golden State has struggled to defend the arc this season, but this is a playoff environment. Expect the Warriors to tighten things up defensively and force Morant into tougher looks.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Ja Morant Lower Than 2.5 3-Pointers Made
