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Orange Bowl Pick: Georgia-Florida State Bet (Dec. 30)

After finishing the regular season 12-1, the Georgia Bulldogs take on the 13-0 Florida State Seminoles as 20.0-point favorites in a game with a 44.5-point total. Let’s dive into our Georgia-Florida State odds, pick and prediction for this year’s Orange Bowl. If you’re looking for more college football bets, check out our college football betting tools and our guide to betting on football.

Orange Bowl Pick: Georgia-Florida State Bet

Orange Bowl Odds

Odds via bet365
Georgia: -1200 | Florida State: +750
Georgia -20.0: -110 | Florida State +20.0: -110
Over 44.5: -110 | Under 44.5: -110
Expert: Matt Gajewski
Saturday, Dec. 30 at 4:00 p.m. ET

Georgia-Florida State News & Notes

Georgia Absences: Edge Marvin Jones Jr.

Georgia Coaching Changes: N/A

Florida State Absences: QB Jordan Travis, QB Tate Rodemaker, RB Trey Benson, RB Rodney Hill, WR Keon Coleman, WR Johnny Wilson, TE Jaheim Bell, TE Markeston Douglas, TE Preston Daniel, CB Renardo Green, CB Jarrian Jones, DL Malcolm Ray, Edge Patrick Payton, Edge Jared Verse, LB DJ Lundy, OT Bless Harris

Florida State Coaching Changes: N/A

Georgia-Florida State Comparison

MetricGeorgiaFlorida State
Overall Offense3rd23rd
Run Blocking12th22nd
Pass Blocking5th8th
Pass Rate64th51st
Overall Defense16th12th
Run Defense26th29th
Pass Rush64th6th

Orange Bowl Pick & Prediction

A College Football Playoff snub according to some, Florida State ruined the Orange Bowl with a slew of opt outs. Despite finishing 13-0, they will barely field a full team against Georgia. Conversely, Georgia hasn’t had many departures, making this a name-your-score spot for the Bulldogs.

On offense, Carson Beck commands one of College Football’s most lethal offenses. Beck has a 72.3% completion percentage for 9.4 yards per attempt, 22 scores, and ten turnover worthy plays. There is some speculation whether Brock Bowers or Amarius Mims will play. This honestly shouldn’t matter. Beck will still have multiple backs and elite pass catchers in Dominic Lovett, Ladd McConkey, and Rara Thomas to throw to.

The Florida State defense is completely decimated from opt outs and transfer portal losses. This team will be down as many as seven starters without any experienced replacements. Diving into specifics is just a waste of time. Georgia should score at will.

As for Florida State’s offense, backup Tate Rodemaker hit the transfer portal after the Seminoles already lost Jordan Travis for the year. Brock Glenn proved utterly incompetent under center and will now be without Keon Coleman, Johnny Wilson, Jaheim Bell, and Trey Benson.

The Georgia defense lost just Jamon Dumas-Johnson to the transfer portal and allegedly haven’t had any opt outs. This team excelled in every efficiency metric except pass rush. They’ve blown out far better teams than the current edition of Florida State, making them a value anywhere below three scores.

Orange Bowl Pick & Prediction and our Georgia-Florida State Bet: Georgia -20 (-110) at bet365



Matt Gajewski

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