Los Angles Chargers star quarterback Justin Herbert will take center stage in the MNF matchup between the Chargers and Indianapolis Colts that caps off Week 16. Bettors will surely be looking in Herbert’s direction when sifting through the best props on the board for the game. Leading up to Monday Night Football, let’s take a look at the top Justin Herbert NFL player props to see which ones carry the most value for Chargers-Colts.
NFL Player Props: Best Justin Herbert Prop Bets For MNF
Using our Oddsshopper tools, we look for the best value on a game-by-game basis in terms of game lines, player props and money lines. When keying in on Justin Herbert props, our models have the over on 8.5 rushing yards (-115 on WynnBet) as the top prop bet for the Chargers quarterback heading into the matchup. We give this bet a 55% win percentage, with an expected value of 3%, the highest of any Herbert bet on the board.
Although Herbert ran for 300 yards a season ago, he has clearly made it an emphasis to keep his eyes downfield this year. The third-year pro has still has 46 rushes for 145 yards in fourteen games. He has run for over 8.5 yards in six of 14 games this season. Additionally, the Colts do an especially poor job of keeping speedy quarterbacks in check. Indianapolis has allowed an opposing quarterback to rush for at least nine yards on eight separate occasions this season, and the only times a quarterback didn’t reach that mark was when facing true pocket-passers (Davis Mills, Ryan Tannehill, Mac Jones, Derek Carr, Kirk Cousins).
Further, the Colts defense ranks 10th in the league in passing yards allowed, meaning Herbert may look to utilize his speed to move the ball.
The other Justin Herbert prop our tools like is the over 0.5 interceptions (-134 on Unibet). We give that play a 57% chance of hitting. Herbert has continued to grow into a superstar, but still turns the ball over at times given his gun-slinger mentality. He’s thrown nine touchdowns on the season, including two against the Tennessee Titans in Week 15.
While we see more value in the rushing prop, there is a good chance Justin Herbert gifts the Colts with an interception at some point of the game, making this another strong NFL player prop for this game.
For a Herbert prop — or any other bet in the Chargers-Colts matchup — there is a free money opportunity with BetMGM. Deposit as little as $10 and up to $1,000 and make a risk-free bet to claim a free $25. Click here to claim your free $25 today.
Colts-Chargers Best Prop Bet: Justin Herbert OVER 8.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
