The NFL Week 16 Christmas Eve slate ends with an AFC battle between the Las Vegas Raiders and Pittsburgh Steelers. Let’s analyze the best Raiders-Steelers player props, including a bet on Steelers backup running back Jaylen Warren.
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Best Raiders-Steelers Props
Jaylen Warren UNDER 25.5 Yards Rushing (-110, DraftKings)
Warren has been a sufficient backup to running back Najee Harris for the Steelers. The 24-year-old rookie is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has back-to-back games of at least 20 snaps. Tonight, Warren will be in temperatures as low as 15 degrees in Pittsburgh against Las Vegas, which is coming off one of the wildest wins the NFL has seen. Chandler Jones ran back a lateral recovery against the New England Patriots as time expired to keep the Raiders in fighting distance for the final AFC wild card spot.
Warren had his most rushing attempts of the season last week (11 for 38 yards), which is a perfect sell-high spot. Quarterback Kenny Pickett returns for the Steelers after recovering from a concussion and will be leaned on as the Raiders offense is primed to score points.
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The Steelers scored on a Harris touchdown on their first possession last week and led the Carolina Panthers wire to wire. Warren was in a perfect situation, with the Steelers leading throughout. This game projects to be close, which would result in Harris getting his usual 70% snap share and dominating the rushing attack. Warren is under this line in nine of 13 games and would need a positive game script to eclipse this rushing line.
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