We’ve made it through the regular season! To end Saturday night’s two-game slate, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Miami Dolphins in frigid temperatures. Let’s dive into our top Dolphins-Chiefs same-game parlay bet for the Wild Card round. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s model for the most up-to-date odds and additional picks!
Dolphins-Chiefs Same Game Parlay Bet | Wild Card Saturday
Patrick Mahomes Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (NFL Player Prop)
Patrick Mahomes and company can’t be pleased that they missed out on a bye and the number two seed in the AFC. Still winners of the AFC West for the eighth straight season, it hasn’t been a joyful ride. Wide receiver trouble has caused Mahomes to throw the most interceptions of his career, while the Chiefs rank top of the NFL with 44 drops. This has left everybody in Kansas City uneasy. So naturally, I’m attacking Mahomes on the ground, especially at home, where he has rushed for at least 26 yards in six of nine games.
The Miami Dolphins‘ front seven is riddled with injuries, most of which occurred toward the end of the season. Last week, we saw Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills run wild against the Dolphins. He totaled 67 yards on 15 rush attempts. Mahomes is not the same runner as Allen, but he is more than capable of surpassing this line, especially with ugly throwing conditions.
Tyreek Hill Over 6.5 Receptions (NFL Player Prop)
The Miami Dolphins were put in almost the same position last season: they had to travel to Buffalo in horrific weather conditions in the Wild Card round. The only difference was that Skylar Thompson was their starting quarterback, and he threw the ball 45 times. The Dolphins were very much in the game, thanks to Josh Allen turning the ball over three times. More importantly, that game featured Tyreek Hill reeling in seven of 15 targets. With Tua Tagovailoa healthy under center and some of the Dolphins skill players dealing with injuries, I expect Hill to have his name called numerous times and surpass this line for the 11th time this season.
If you’re looking for some player prop action on this Dolphins-Chiefs game, OddsShopper’s betting model found a key pricing disparity — subscribe to OddsShopper Premium!
Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown (NFL Player Prop)
Of course, we have to add an anytime touchdown play to conclude our same game parlay for Dolphins-Chiefs. Isiah Pacheco is my favorite target for finding the end zone on Saturday night. Luckily, FanDuel has Pacheco listed at -105 to score, the best odds on any major book. It fits right into our parlay.
Pacheco runs harder than most backs in the league. He has broken 15 tackles this season and has 375 rushing yards after contact. That ranks him in the top 15 despite the fact he missed multiple games this season. We dove into the Dolphins’ trouble stopping the run, and it will only get worse with all the injuries they’ve sustained and the Chiefs’ elite interior offensive line.
Pacheco’s rushing attempt line is set at 15.5 with vig on the over on all major books. The books expect the Chiefs to ride Pachecho early and often, especially with the weather forecast. Expect plenty of those attempts to come in the red zone, as he ran the ball four times inside the 20 two weeks ago and reeled in three targets.
Final Dolphins-Chiefs Same Game Parlay Bet for Wild Card Saturday
Patrick Mahomes Over 25.5 Rushing Yards
Tyreek Hill Over 6.5 Receptions
Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown
+517 on FanDuel Sportsbook
Looking for more 2023-24 NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NFL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NFL articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets. Don’t believe OddsShopper will change your betting results? Check out our experts’ profits:
This right here is the OddsShopper difference.
