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Categories NFL

NFL Week 6 Player Prop Picks & Predictions

Updated October 13, 2024 | 12:04 pm CDT by Isaiah Sirois
The top Underdog Fantasy NFL pick'em predictions for MNF include a couple of plays that should get entries going, like Chase Brown...

The NFL rolls on with a busy Week 6 card. The action will get started early from across the pond, and once that’s over, we’ve got seven hours of commercial free football. We’ll dive into some of the best bets you can get down for Sunday’s action. If you’re just starting out with sports betting, I recommend you read our NFL player prop betting strategy guide. Anyway, here are the top NFL player prop picks for Week 6, including a bet for Chase Brown.

NFL Week 6 Player Prop Picks & Predictions

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NFL Week 6 Player Prop Picks & Predictions for Chase Brown & More

What do you consider when betting on the NFL? On any given night, are you trying to find a can’t-miss “lock”, or are you trying to place a diversified portfolio of bets you expect to make you money? While the former strategy can be fun when you win, it hurts a lot more when you lose. Let’s For more thoughts on NFL player prop betting strategy, read the full story.

All of that said, at OddsShopper, our Portfolio EV sports betting tools have gone 657-557 (6.2% ROI) on all NFL player props with an OS Rating of 2 or higher so far this season. If you’re struggling to find that diversified set of bets to make you money, we’ve got your back — with our tools, you can get down tons of bets with positive expected value (+EV) quickly.

To help you get started building your portfolio of NFL player prop bets for Week 6, tail these plays:

We'll tackle the best NFL Week 6 player prop picks and predictions using our advanced sports betting model...
We'll tackle the best NFL Week 6 player prop picks and predictions using our advanced sports betting model...

These were the top three NFL player props for Week 6, according to Portfolio EV, when this article went live. Our model changes with the market, so these can change quickly: Click here for more +EV NFL bets!

Our model works by taking in the odds from across the sports betting market to estimate a breakeven price for each wager. With that number, we can then calculate how much value every line at every book has.

In this case, the top pick was at Fanatics, where we are 145-118 (5.4%) thus far season. We post all of our +EV betting results on our site — unlike some of our competitors, we are complete transparent about our outcomes.

The top play is for Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown, who made some noise last week but is not expected to do so this week. Although we can get him to stay under 15.5 receiving yards for -125 at Fanatics, Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the total at 12.5 (and the under at -108)! Few books have this close to 15.5.

Scrolling down the board reveals plays for another Bengal, Andrei Iosivas, as well as a Carolina Panther, Xavier Legette. These guys may not be big names, but their lines have enough betting value to warrant wagering on them.

Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NFL player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month — or you can get a free month by signing up with one of our partner sites.

OddsShopper’s Featured Video for Week 6

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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