After a brief hiatus, the PGA Tour swing season returns with a familiar event at an unfamiliar venue. The World Wide Technology Championship tees off from Mexico, and it brings a few unique storylines with it. The biggest one has to be that Tiger Woods is the architect of this new El Cardonal course, so this is our first glimpse of a Woods-inspired PGA Tour layout. Since this is a new course, it brings more questions than answers but also an opportunity in the betting market. If we can anticipate the right skillset needed, we should be able to target some golfers who might be at an advantage. The field has several interesting options, so let’s go over the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship odds and search for some viable outright picks and longshots.
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2023 World Wide Technology Championship Odds & Bets
2023 World Wide Technology Championship Outright Bet: Stephan Jaeger (25-1, FanDuel)
Jaeger is a familiar target for me in the outright market, and he continues to play well despite not being able to break through. He’s been automatic in finding the weekend, stretching back to the summer, and that proves he’s able to handle all sorts of courses or layouts. The big question is, can he sync up the improved ball striking with a putter that comes and goes?
This course should allow some errand tee shots and a lot of creativity in shot selection. Jaeger’s around-the-green game has been consistently strong, and that could suit him here, as should his ability to dial it in with the irons. The field is wide open for a first-time winner, and Jaeger is still in the mid-20-1 range. He’s going to have to find another gear on the weekend to truly compete, but he’s close to breaking through.
2023 World Wide Technology Championship Outright Bet: Davis Thompson (45-1, FanDuel)
Thompson is a name I’m seeing more and more during swing season, and it’s for good reason. He heads to Mexico in good form, having made four straight cuts, including last time out at the Shriners a few weeks ago. More encouraging than finding the weekend were his strokes gained numbers, which once again showed positive ball striking for Thompson. This run of form has all been due to his tee-to-green game as he has lost strokes putting in the last four events. If he can get any upside with his putter, watch out for a guy who has proven he can go low on tour.
Thompson was runner-up at the American Express back in January, and this is the type of event where he seems live to contend. If he continues this level of ball striking and finds any positive regression with the putter, you will want Thompson on the card in the 45-1 range.
2023 World Wide Technology Championship Outright Bet: Erik van Rooyen (80-1, FanDuel)
This is another “sorry in advance” pick, as rostering and betting van Rooyen has been a frustrating task for a while now. He completely lost his game and was seemingly unable to compete regardless of field strength. He finally has turned the corner and is showing flashes of his former self, which was a legitimate threat to win tournaments. Van Rooyen has found the weekend in three straight events, including last time out at the Shriners. More importantly, he has gained at least three strokes with the irons in the last three events, and that is exactly the recipe for success.
Again, the field strength is key here. The majority of big names are not in attendance, which opens the door for a ton of guys to contend, including someone like van Rooyen. Of course, the 80-1 odds represent that, but given his run of form and his abilities with the driver, he could take apart these par 5’s and respond to this layout. I will take a shot with van Rooyen, as his top-end game is good enough to compete and win on the PGA Tour.
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There’s a ton of betting value on tonight’s NBA slate.
For every 50 likes this post gets, I’ll reply below in a thread with one of tonight’s bets (I’ve placed 18 so far).
— Greg Ehrenberg (@gehrenbergdfs) November 1, 2023