Anytime Touchdown Scorer Meaning: Why QB Passes Don't Count

An anytime touchdown scorer bet pays if the player you pick scores a touchdown at any point in the game: first, last or anywhere in between. Rushing and receiving touchdowns count; when a quarterback throws a touchdown pass the market credits the receiver, not the passer, so a quarterback's anytime price is only the touchdowns he runs in himself. Most books exclude defensive and special-teams return touchdowns, and a two-point conversion never counts, so check the market's terms before you assume a kick returner is live.

That is the whole definition; the rest of this page is this week's board and what it says. The passer's own touchdowns live in a separate market (NFL passing touchdown props), and the wider family is in our NFL player props guide.

Prices as of Wednesday, September 23, 2026, 7:35 a.m. ET: sportsbook anytime-TD prices from the OddsShopper anytime TD board, best available price across every book we track; Kalshi first-TD asks before fees.

This Week's Board

The 20 shortest anytime touchdown prices across Sunday's 14 games. "Books" is how many sportsbooks and exchanges posted a price on that player; the best price is the best number among them.

Thursday night, Falcons at Packers, is a one-name board:

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Three Stories In The Board

The shortest price on the slate is -276, and that is the best one

Jahmyr Gibbs at -276 is the best of 12 prices, and it means you are paying for a 73.4% scorer before you make a cent. The spread between books matters most at the top of the board, and the reason is arithmetic: on Week 1's board De'Von Achane was +120 at one book and -120 at another, a nine-point gap in implied probability. Nine points on top of 73.4% is a book charging you as if Gibbs scores 82 times in 100, and no read on a running back is sharp enough to make that a bet. The shorter the favorite, the more the worst book costs you, so the star is the one name where the book you open decides whether there is a bet at all.

No book owns the best price

BetMGM tops five of the 20 rows and Fanatics four, but seven of the 20 best prices sit at an exchange or sweepstakes book (Polymarket US on four, Fliff on two, Onyx Odds on one), and DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars and Bally each own exactly one. Javonte Williams has the deepest board on the slate, 20 books posting, and one of them, BetMGM at -145, beats the other 19. Even BetMGM, the book that tops the most rows, has the best number on one of every four rows, which is why the board above lists the book and not just the price.

Thursday is Bijan Robinson and everyone else

Bijan Robinson at -127 is the best of 22 prices, the deepest board of the week because the game is the closest, and the next name in his own game is Christian Watson at +178: a 19.9-point gap in implied probability, 55.9% to 36.0%. The two quarterbacks make the definition concrete. Jordan Love is +750 and Michael Penix Jr. is +1100 because only their own runs count, and Josh Allen sits at -139 on Sunday, the seventh-shortest price on the slate, for the same reason. A quarterback's price is the market's read on how often he keeps it at the goal line, nothing more.

First Touchdown Is A Different Bet

Kalshi's NFL touchdown contracts are first touchdown scorer, not anytime. One player per game wins, each team's defense and a "No Touchdown" outcome are on the ladder, and a player who scores the second and third touchdowns of the game pays nothing. Prices are in cents; the ask is what you pay, and a winning contract pays $1.

Gibbs is the cleanest example: a 73.4% anytime scorer is a 25¢ first scorer, because 17 other contracts in that game compete for the one first touchdown. Thursday's asks sit a cent above their bids because the game is closest; the Sunday markets are wide, Gibbs 10¢ bid against 25¢ ask, so a Sunday first-TD ask on Wednesday is a starting point, not where the ladder will settle. A short anytime price is not a reason to pay up for first TD, and a cheap first-TD ask is not a discount on the anytime bet; they answer different questions. To combine touchdown contracts on an exchange, use the Kalshi touchdown parlay walkthrough.

Red-Zone Usage Is The Whole Ballgame

Touchdowns are scored from close range, so usage inside the 10 decides who scores. A back who handles most of his team's carries there has a floor that season yardage cannot capture; the committee back who cedes the goal line is the classic overpriced anytime play, and his goal-line teammate is the one worth pricing up. For receivers the threshold is a 25% share of red-zone targets, and slot receivers gain value inside the 10 while pure speed profiles lose it. Then weigh the implied team total: a goal-line role on an offense implied for 27 points beats the same role on one implied for 17. Name value does not score touchdowns; usage does. Yardage is another market (rushing, receiving).

Price Vs. Fair

A bet is good when the price beats the player's true scoring chance, not when the player is good, so convert every price to an implied probability first: -160 is 61.5%, +120 is 45.5%. The -160 star is the trap. He has to score in 62 of 100 games before you profit, and the number already includes the book's cut, which on props runs 6% to 10% against 4.5% on a spread. If your read on a goal-line back is 50% and the market has him at +120, the four-and-a-half-point gap is your edge; the free EV calculator turns it into dollars and the bankroll guide sizes it. The same back at -160 because he is famous is a pass.

Want this done for you?

OddsShopper scans every major sportsbook and, for each anytime touchdown scorer, the tool surfaces the de-vigged fair odds (the true price with the book's hold stripped out) right next to the best number actually available. That is the price-vs-fair check above, run for the whole board in seconds. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code TDPROPS20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.

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Shop Every Book

Spreads sit within a point of each other everywhere; touchdown props do not, because no book can sharpen a thousand props as tightly as a handful of sides. On Week 1's Sunday morning board, DraftKings 🎁 had De'Von Achane at +100, FanDuel 🎁 at +115, BetMGM 🎁 at -120 and Fanatics at +120: 44% more profit on the same winning ticket at the best number. The worse price hands back edge you already earned, which is why sharp bettors treat line shopping as non-negotiable. And keep touchdowns out of same-game parlays built for the payout: books shade the correlation hard, so every leg must be a bet you would place alone (parlay guide).

The Ten-Second Read

Is the role real, does the game environment feed it, and does the best price on the board beat your honest read? Three yeses is a bet. A price that is short only because the jersey is famous is a trap, and this week that question starts at -276. Our weekly NFL touchdown cheat sheet applies the read game by game.

New to OddsShopper? It scans every major sportsbook, shows the de-vigged fair odds on every anytime TD scorer, and flags the ones priced in your favor, running the price-vs-fair work above for the whole board automatically. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code TDPROPS20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.

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