MLB’s 2022 playoff seeds are all sewn up while a monster 18-game slate remains on Tuesday. With a slew of potential player props to consider, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000! Signup at BetMGM to make your first deposit and register the risk-free wager of your choice. If the selection falls short of cashing out you’ll be matched with an equal dollar value bet of your choice with no strings attached to the offer. On the second to last day of the regular season, let’s hone in on the best player prop values available today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Expert Betting Picks 10/4
Michael Lorenzen O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET
Michael Lorenzen has been dealing of late and faces a pristine matchup in the Oakland Athletics tonight. He is averaging 0.85 strikeouts per inning and 5.1 innings pitched per start this season, estimating 4.58 strikeouts tonight at his given rates. Oakland has a 24.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season while expected to assign five hitters to their order with an excess of a 21% strikeout rate against the split. In the past month, Lorenzen has dialed into form with a 27.7% strikeout rate and .167 average against, striking out six or more hitters in each of his past three starts, including eight batters fanned against Oakland six days ago. In that time span, Oakland has increased their strikeout rate to the league’s second-highest against right-handed pitching at 26.5% with a .214 batting average and 88 wRC+. At just two cents up from even-money, the meager strikeout total on Lorenzen makes the over one of Tuesday’s best MLB betting picks today.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Michael Lorenzen OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (-102)
Ryan Mountcastle O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET
Ryan Mountcastle crushed right-handed pitching through September and draws Mitch White on the mound at home in Camden. Mountcastle has a .249 batting average, .734 OPS and .181 ISO with 17 home runs against right-handed pitching this season. White has allowed a .296 average against and 1.57 WHIP when facing righties in 2022.
If Mountcastle’s total bases on hits is too risky for you, BetMGM is offering a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000! Should Mountcastle wind up shy of the two bases necessary to cash, you’ll be matched an equal dollar value wager of your choice with no added commitments. In the past month of facing righty pitchers, Mountcastle has a .286 batting average, .878 OPS and 151 wRC+ with three home runs and four doubles. White’s resume against righties diminished in September with a .366 average against and 2.11 WHIP. Garnering incredible plus-money odds here, grab the over on Mountcastle’s total bases against White.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Ryan Mountcastle OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Justin Turner O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET
Justin Turner has returned to his prime production and faces Ryan Feltner in Dodger Stadium tonight. Turner has a .281 batting average, .817 OPS and .181 ISO with 10 home runs against right-handed pitching this season. Feltner has surrendered a 42% hard-contact rate while earning a .296 average against, 1.64 home runs per nine innings and .207 ISO against right-handed hitting. In the past month, Turner has rejuvenated his playoff form with a .321 batting average, .967 OPS and .226 ISO against right-handed pitching with three home runs. With a 6.5-to-1 return on investment in store, it’s worth a unit dart toss on Turner to smash one into the seats against Feltner and company.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Justin Turner OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Whit Merrifield O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET
Whit Merrifield has been on fire through Toronto’s playoff push and draws a matchup with Mike Baumann. Merrifield has a meager .251 batting average and .655 OPS against right-handed pitching this season, but his past month delivered differently. Baumann has a .301 average against and 1.42 WHIP against right-handed hitting through 29 innings pitched this season. Through September, Merrifield had a .372 batting average, .959 OPS and .209 ISO against right-handed pitching with two home runs. Merrifield has had four multi-hit performances in his past 10 games, including four doubles and four home runs, to boot. At heightened plus-money odds, the total bases on Merrifield is of noteworthy value tonight.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Whit Merrifield OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+160)
