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Categories MLB

PrizePicks MLB Today: Jose Ramirez, Guardians Facing Debuting Pirates Pitcher (July 17)

July 17, 2023 | 9:55 AM by Josh Engleman
Our expert dives into his MLB PrizePicks strategy with expert pick'em tips and advice, much of which comes down to the optimizer...

Today’s MLB PrizePicks slate has 10 games to choose from, and Josh Engleman is going to cover all the action, with the help of OddsShopper Premium, to find the best leverage spots. A couple Guardians bats are at the top of the list right now as they face a debuting starter, and Josh will break that down, along with a few other games below. Let’s dive in.

Sharp PrizePicks players know that the best flex entries feature four picks or more most of the time, so for more plays with positive expected value, sign up for OddsShopper Premium and get access to our PrizePicks Tool!

MLB PrizePicks Today: Guardians Get Debuting Pitcher

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Steven Kwan More Than 7.0 Fantasy Points

Kwan is projected to have a solid performance against pitcher Quinn Priester. Although Kwan is not known for his power, the Guardians have a favorable 5.1-run implied total, indicating potential scoring opportunities against a pitcher making his major league debut. With the PrizePicks projection set at 7.0 fantasy points, Kwan is projected to exceed this number approximately 68% of the time.

Jose Ramirez More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points

Continuing with the Guardians, Ramirez is a significantly better hitter than Kwan, and his PrizePicks projection is set at 7.5 fantasy points. Given his skill set and the favorable matchup with Priester, Ramirez is projected to go over this PrizePicks projection around 65% of the time. With a 5.1-run implied total for the Guardians, Ramirez has a good chance of delivering a strong fantasy performance.

Riley Greene More Than 7.0 Fantasy Points

The Tigers face Jordan Lyles of the Royals, a pitcher projected for a 4.96 FIP. Although Greene is a league-average hitter, the Tigers have a promising 5.1-run implied total in this game. With a PrizePicks projection set at 7.0 fantasy points, Greene is projected to exceed this number approximately 65% of the time. Given the favorable run environment and the lefty-righty matchup, Greene has the potential to provide solid fantasy production.

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Wander Franco More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points

Franco and the Rays face Dane Dunning of the Texas Rangers. Franco is a strong hitter, and the Rays have a 4.5-run implied total in this game. With a PrizePicks projection set at 7.5 fantasy points, Franco is projected to go over the mark around 62% of the time. Although the run environment is not as favorable as other picks, Franco’s talent and potential for offensive production make him a strong candidate to exceed the PrizePicks projection.

Corey Seager Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points

Seager faces a challenging matchup against Shane McClanahan of the Tampa Bay Rays in a lefty-lefty spot. With a modest 4.2-run implied total for the Rangers, Seager may struggle to reach the PrizePicks projection set at 7.0 fantasy points. OddsShopper’s projections indicate that Seager goes under this PrizePicks number approximately 59% of the time. Considering the unfavorable matchup, playing the less for Seager’s fantasy points is reasonable.

Cody Bellinger Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points

Bellinger faces MacKenzie Gore in another lefty-lefty matchup. With a decent but not great 4.4-run implied total for the Cubs, Bellinger may find it challenging to produce fantasy points. The PrizePicks projection is set at 7.0 fantasy points, and OddsShopper projections indicate that Bellinger goes under this mark around 59% of the time. Considering the unfavorable matchup and Bellinger’s recent struggles, betting on the under for his fantasy points is a reasonable choice.

For more PrizePicks plays, try out our PrizePicks tool! There are plenty more +EV picks populating in the tool today, so sign up now and get in on the PrizePicks action.

Categories MLB
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Josh Engleman

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