The NFL regular season starts tonight, but don’t forget about the MLB with only one month left in their season. There are a few divisions that are still up for grabs to get into the playoffs. Tonight we have three strikeout props that stand out for the evening slate of games. With only four games this evening, taking three pitchers seems like the best route to take. This piece will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.
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MLB Picks and Parlays Today 9/8
Dylan Cease O/U 8.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The Chicago White Sox are making a late playoff push as they will send their ace Dylan Cease to the mound in a road matchup against the Oakland Athletics. Cease ranks third in K/9 and second in ERA among all pitchers in the league and has a 31.4% strikeout rate. Even though Cease has been dominant on the mound, getting to nine strikeouts in one game is not an easy task. He has only captured nine or more strikeouts in seven of his 27 starts and has gone under this strikeout prop line in nine-straight starts. In his lone matchup against the Athletics in late July, he recorded seven strikeouts while allowing only one earned run through six innings. This is a great matchup in terms of limiting runs, as the Athletics have scored the second-fewest runs in the league this season. They rank ninth in strikeout rate, so they can be a pesky out at the plate. Stokastic projects Cease for only 6.7 strikeouts in this spot with an xWin rate on this under strikeout prop at a very strong 78%.
Best MLB Pick Today: Dylan Cease UNDER 8.5 Strikeouts (-143)
Sonny Gray O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The Minnesota Twins are looking to avoid a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees tonight. Sonny Gray will take the bump in hopes to continue his strong recent pitching form. Over the last eight starts, Gray is 3-1 and has recorded 5.5 strikeouts per game. This will be his first start against the Yankees this season, but if he can limit or even walk Aaron Judge every time he steps to the plate, Gray will be able to move through this lineup rather easily. The Yankees only have a 3.8 implied run total as their offense has been struggling to score since the All-Star break. Gray has reached five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight starts as Stokastic projects him for 5.2 strikeouts in this spot. In his first season with the Twins, he has a respectable 23.7% strikeout rate and a 1.13 WHIP. The Bronx Bombers may look like an intimidating matchup on paper, but they have only averaged 3.2 runs per game in their last 12 games. Gray can take advantage of his former team tonight.
Best MLB Pick Today: Sonny Gray OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-133)
Kyle Gibson O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The last leg in our parlay features Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Kyle Gibson who has a home matchup against the Miami Marlins. Despite being 14 games above .500, the Phillies are still in third place in the NL East. In his first full season with the Phillies, Gibson is second on the team in innings pitched and wins, and third in total strikeouts. Not bad for being on a very quality pitching staff. Ironically, this will be Gibson’s fifth start against the Marlins this season. That is very rare for a pitcher to face a team that many times, even when they are in the same division. During those four starts, Gibson has averaged exactly five strikeouts per game as he failed to reach five strikeouts just once in those four starts. He has also allowed only eight earned runs through 24.2 innings pitched against the Marlins. Stokastic projects five strikeouts on the dot for Gibson, which is what he has averaged in this matchup. The Marlins have the fifth-highest strikeout rate as a team this season. It all adds up perfectly. Let’s win an MLB parlay tonight!
Best MLB Pick Today: Kyle Gibson OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-125)
