Skip to content
logo
Search Icon
​
Log InSign Up
Top Bets
Top Bets
My Bets
My Bets
Portfolio Lab
Portfolio Lab
Help
Help
Categories MLB

Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Aaron Nola (July 19)

Updated July 21, 2024 | 7:54 am CDT by Eytan Shander
Underdog Fantasy Pick'em Predictions Today: Aaron Nola (July 19)

Welcome back, old friend! OK, while we haven’t been on anything longer than a true four-day break, it’s fantastic to have meaningful baseball back on our screens. We have a full slate across the sport starting earlier in the day, but for our purposes on Underdog, we will look at the later action. As always, we use the OddsShopper pick’em tool to help guide the best plays that beat the market. It’s that easy: build a quick 3x Underdog entry and hit the weekend running with some expert MLB predictions!

It’s a simple question at Underdog Fantasy: Choose if a player will finish higher or lower their current projection. Build anywhere from two to six picks. Here are the top two plays from Underdog — getting 3x back on a winning entry. OddsShopper has an Underdog Fantasy optimizer tool designed to help you build winning entries.

Editor’s Note: Want more of Eytan or the OddsShopper crew and community? Come join our community of like-minded people on Discord!

Use our Underdog Fantasy promo code today for a first deposit match worth up to $250!

Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick’em Predictions Today

Looking for more MLB pick’em advice? Check out the rest of our MLB articles or our MLB pick’em tools. You can also read our guide to Underdog Fantasy. You can get a first-time deposit match up to $250 with code EYTAN.

Jeimer Candelario H/L Than 1.5 Total Bases

This is the play in the OddsShopper pick’em tool with the best edge against the market. We fade Jeimer Candelario doing anything more than one single tonight as the Reds are in Washington, D.C. While this is far from a pitcher’s duel between Frankie Montas and Patrick Corbin, that doesn’t mean everyone gets a hit — far from it. Candelario hasn’t been stellar enough at the plate to warrant any significant benefit of the doubt, and we know we are getting near a 2% edge against the market.

Corbin has been equally as bad as Candelario’s teammate Montas, but our hitter in question is struggling on the year with a .226 xBA and .289 xwOBA. Once we mix in the 24% strikeout rate, we see why he’s been inconsistent at best at the plate. He’s been able to put together some smaller stretches of hit streaks, but even those don’t result in enough extra-base hits. We’ll take that chance tonight with OddsShopper providing a 1.9% edge — the -122 implied odds beat the -127 true odds.

Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Jeimer Candelario Lower Than 1.5 Total Bases

Aaron Nola H/L Than 1.5 Walks Allowed

Now is the time as we start to see Aaron Nola pick it up just as the Philadelphia Phillies are gearing towards the playoffs. Nola typically takes off gradually at the start of the season, and he hits his stride by late August into the postseason. That particularly illustrates itself with an increase of strikeouts, coming at the expense of any walks.

The good news is Nola barely walks anyone at this point, and that won’t change with an increase of strikeouts. Nola opens the second half on the road in Pittsburgh, another circumstance that shouldn’t change how stingy Nola is with walks.

The Phillies have a trio of stellar arms, but one thing stands out with Nola — he’s not making a ton of mistakes. The 5.7% walk rate is stellar this year, and he’s gone nine straight starts without giving up more than two walks — five of those starts he was lower than the 1.5 number.

Sign up for OddsShopper Premium today!

We start back up in baseball with a couple of solid plays, including Nola keeping the Pirates off the base path. Even if things start to break down or even crumble for Nola, it’s usually because of the long ball or stringing a couple of hits in a row — rarely due to the walk.

Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Aaron Nola Lower Than 1.5 Walks Allowed

React App

Best Offers in Ohio

Ohio
State

bet365

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets, Win or Lose

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IN, KY, LA, NC, NJ, OH, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY).

No Code Necessary

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IN, KY, LA, NC, NJ, OH, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY).

betmgm

Up To $1,500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

21+ Gambling a problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or Text NEXTSTEP to 53342

No Code Necessary

21+ Gambling a problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or Text NEXTSTEP to 53342

caesars

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets

21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

No Code Necessary

21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Categories MLB
MLB Expert Picks & Predictions Today for Friday, July 19
MLB Player Props & Home Run Picks Today for Friday, July 19
Eytan Shander

Author

Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

Next Story

What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion

Trending & Related

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Strikeout Props & More From OddsShopper Experts (June 22)

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Video Breakdown of Portfolio EV’s Top Strikeout Props (June 20)

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Home Run Props & More From OddsShopper Experts (June 19)

Betting 101

Why Tailing Expert Picks with OddsShopper Tails Is the Best Decision You’ll Make Today

PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer

DraftKings Legal States

How to Get & Use Caesars Rewards

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
July 10, 2025 11:30 am | Isaiah Sirois
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
July 7, 2025 8:29 am | Dave Loughran
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 23, 2025 7:47 am | Sam Smith
What is a Futures Bet? How to Make Money Betting on Futures
June 20, 2025 9:41 am | Isaiah Sirois
US Open Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)
June 11, 2025 9:44 am | Ben Rasa
EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm | Sam Smith

Related Articles

Best NRFI Bets Today: Winning Strategy for First Inning Betting
July 11, 2025 12:08 pm | Sam Smith
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Dansby Swanson (July 9)
July 9, 2025 1:06 pm | Danny Burke
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
July 9, 2025 7:53 am | Isaiah Sirois
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
July 7, 2025 8:29 am | Dave Loughran
FREE Home Run Portfolio: Start Turning a Profit on HR Bets
July 7, 2025 8:00 am | Sam Smith
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Home Run Props & More From OddsShopper Experts (July 6)
July 6, 2025 9:54 am | Eytan Shander

Why Tailing Expert Picks with OddsShopper Tails Is the Best Decision You’ll Make Today
July 11, 2025 3:02 pm
Best NRFI Bets Today: Winning Strategy for First Inning Betting
July 11, 2025 12:08 pm
PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer
July 10, 2025 11:44 am
DraftKings Legal States
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
How to Get & Use Caesars Rewards
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
Fliff Legal States
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
How to Use Fliff: Turning Fliff Coins & Cash Into Real Money
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
Rebet Legal States
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
FanDuel Legal States
July 10, 2025 11:31 am
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
July 10, 2025 11:30 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are incredible sportsbook bonus codes and DFS app promo codes that are expressly designed to help new players get started building a bankroll. As a new player, it's often correct to focus on taking advantage of as many of these offers as you can. Even better, having access to more books lets you take advantage of line shopping so that you can always get the best payout for your winning bets. Books like BetMGM and bet365 have great first-bet offers for new players. On the DFS App side, operators like Underdog and Sleeper offer matches on your first deposit up to a certain amount. Use the links below to explore the best sportsbook promo codes. Once you get signed up with a bonus, make sure to use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Best BetMGM Bonus Code

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Promo Code

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Best FanDuel Promo Code

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Best PrizePicks Promo Code

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Best UnderDog Fantasy Promo Code

Get a promo code for UnderDog

Join the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes
  • About Us

    • Contact Us
    • Terms of Use
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.