The NBA has a solid nine-game card on tap for this evening. The Lakers and Heat will square off in the early slot on NBA TV, and the Nuggets and Kings will follow them. But with seven other games to follow, even the sharpest NBA bettors can miss out on the best NBA player props.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a free three-day trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Dec. 28
Ben Simmons Prop O/U 6.5 Rebounds
The Brooklyn Nets have finally turned things around, and Ben Simmons is slowly turning into a positive asset. Simmons has a positive net rating in his last six appearances and has averaged 7.5 rebounds per game through that stretch. Yet BetMGM is leaving Simmons’ rebounding prop at only 6.5.
According to NBA Bet Pro, Simmons should come down with 7.7 boards against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. That gives this bet an expected win rate of 58%. With BetMGM setting the juice for this prop at -125, bettors are getting a great deal relative to the implied odds of 55.6%. Bettors should head to BetMGM for the best deal on the market.
Best NBA Player Prop: Ben Simmons Over 6.5 Rebounds (-125) at BetMGM
Also, if you want to add some free bets to your docket this week, DraftKings is offering $150 in free bets! All you need to do is make a $5 bet on a moneyline, and you’ll receive the $150 if your team wins.
De’Aaron Fox Prop O/U 7.5 Assists
Today’s best NBA player prop, according to NBA Bet Pro, will come on NBA TV’s late slate. De’Aaron Fox, who is averaging 5.5 assists per game this year, has a total set all the way up at 7.5. Although Domantas Sabonis‘ likely absence accounts for this upswing, Fox only recorded four assists in the lone game that Sabonis missed this year.
NBA Bet Pro projects Fox for 4.9 assists tonight. The Nuggets have allowed the most assists per game to point guards this year, but Davion Mitchell dished out most of the damage against Denver last night. This bet has an expected win rate of 71%, much better than the 60.8% chance implied by Unibet’s odds. Only three NBA player props have EV of 10% or more, and bettors can view the other two with a free three-day trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: De’Aaron Fox Under 7.5 Assists (-155) at Unibet
Paolo Banchero Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
The frontrunner for this year’s Rookie of the Year Award, Paolo Banchero has beaten opponents with a mix of everything. He is averaging 21.1 points per game this year, a number that includes 1.3 3-pointers per game. NBA Bet Pro believes the matchup with the Detroit Pistons bodes well for his perimeter shooting tonight.
Banchero is projected for 1.7 3-pointers tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. But with FanDuel setting his odds for a pair of 3-pointers all the way up at +148, bettors can lock in a great value bet at the moment. However, the book is likely to adjust this number to align with the rest of the market — this line sits at only +140 at BetMGM and +129 at Caesars. Bettors should hurry to FanDuel for the best deal on the market before their line moves.
Best NBA Player Prop: Paolo Banchero Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+148) at FanDuel
