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Categories NBA

NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Monday, January 6 (2025)

Updated January 6, 2025 | 10:24 am CDT by Eytan Shander
FREE Portfolio Of The Day: Best +EV NBA Bets Today (Feb. 24)

There’s something about drama in the workplace to tip off the week in the NBA. While you may be thinking of another story in sports, this is about Kevin Durant and his Phoenix Suns. With changes to the lineup and a possible trade destination for Jimmy Butler, the Suns are in the spotlight tonight in Philadelphia — and that’s just one of our nine NBA games tonight. Here are three best NBA player prop picks today from Portfolio EV.

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NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Monday, Jan. 6

Last season, we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on our NBA expert picks. Find more +EV betting results here!

NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today

Every player prop I bet in the NBA is directly tracked and shared across multiple platforms, from Pikkit to OddsShopper to X. I continue to turn profits because of the tools, mainly how I apply them. Today the focus is on the proper application of these tools so you aren’t left with even more questions. You are told all the time to shop the bet, get the right price. Don’t worry, that part is already taken care of for you.

The bets I take from Portfolio EV then post here or on X are a direct product of the actual portfolios I’ve created. While I certainly won’t hit every bet, this process has been proven to work over time. If I get a 7.6% ROI (more on that) in any betting market, you are darn sure I will be throwing down.

We begin with Tyrese Maxey staying under 6.5 assists at -110 on DraftKings. Right away, forget about anything you think is going to happen and just look at the data. We have a 6.4% edge, but how did we get there? Simple: Our detailed algorithm sifted through a ton of bets across the market, specifically within the parameters of my portfolio, and bang — we get Maxey and edge.

Look no further than the -126 true odds versus the -110 DraftKings is offering. It’s a massive edge against the market, both the true odds and other books. We know we gain edge every time our wager is better than the true odds. It’s the same in any market anywhere.

We can also see the history of our return of investment, at least from Portfolio EV. The historical return on investment (HROI) specifically details which markets have a history of profit and at what return. In fact, you can and should be hiding negative-HROI bets. Stay away from them.

My portfolio is built off results. I checked hundreds, in some cases thousands, of results directly from Portfolio EV then built out per each book. Since I’m using the transparent EV results of the tools to build my bets, it’s far easier to confidently bet in volume.

The next two plays follow the same exact method, from build to bet. The process doesn’t change no matter the side or wager, over or under — we are adhering to a +EV strategy built in top-down betting.

This is the easiest way to build a bankroll, to profit long term. Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NBA player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month.

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

Categories NBA
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Eytan Shander

Author

Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

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