Four weeks of the NFL season are in the books and there continues to be significant movement on the 2023 Super Bowl odds board. Luckily for bettors, with line movement comes the opportunity to find value in the midst of market overreaction.
The top of the Super Bowl odds remained the same after the Bills, Chiefs and Eagles all won in Week 4. The Eagles are the only undefeated team after four weeks.
This column will use FanDuel Sportsbook each week to track teams and odds movement. You can shop for NFL odds across the market right on OddsShopper.
Super Bowl LVII Odds (Post-Week 4 – October 4)
| Team: | Super Bowl Odds: | Last Week: |
| Bills | +450 | +500 |
| Chiefs | +700 | +800 |
| Eagles | +750 | +850 |
| Buccaneers | +1000 | +950 |
| Packers | +1000 | +1000 |
| Rams | +1600 | +1400 |
| 49ers | +1700 | +1900 |
| Ravens | +1700 | +1400 |
| Vikings | +2200 | +2100 |
| Bengals | +2400 | +2200 |
| Chargers | +2400 | +2100 |
| Dolphins | +2400 | +1600 |
| Cowboys | +2400 | +3400 |
| Broncos | +3000 | +1900 |
| Jaguars | +4800 | +5000 |
| Titans | +5000 | +6000 |
| Raiders | +5000 | +7500 |
| Colts | +5000 | +3400 |
| Browns | +5500 | +4400 |
| Cardinals | +6000 | +7000 |
| Saints | +7500 | +6500 |
| Giants | +11000 | +11000 |
| Patriots | +12000 | +10000 |
| Lions | +14000 | +10000 |
| Steelers | +18000 | +13000 |
| Panthers | +21000 | +10000 |
| Falcons | +21000 | +34000 |
| Commanders | +22000 | +13000 |
| Jets | +28000 | +39000 |
| Bears | +37000 | +20000 |
| Seahawks | +42000 | +55000 |
| Texans | +100000 | +55000 |
Moving Up:
Bills, Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, Cowboys, Jaguars, Titans, Raiders, Cardinals, Falcons, Jets, Seahawks
As I mentioned, the only unbeaten team left is the Eagles. One notable thing is that the Jaguars’ price moved up despite losing to the Eagles. I believe Vegas knows that the public is catching on to the fact that the Jaguars might be the real deal.
Moving Down
Buccaneers, Rams, Ravens, Vikings, Bengals, Chargers, Dolphins, Broncos, Colts, Browns, Saints, Patriots, Lions, Steelers, Panthers, Commanders, Bears, Texans
One interesting is that of the teams that prices fell, the Vikings, Bengals and Chargers all won in week 4. I have mentioned all three of these teams this season as potential buy spots. You could look at this price reduction as an opportunity after theirs win as another buy spot.
2023 Super Bowl Bets to Consider Right Now
Miami Dolphins +2400
I’ve been very bullish on the Dolphins since the start of the season. I was high on HC Mike McDaniel and what he could unlock for QB Tua Tagovailoa and that offense. Following the Dolphins’ loss on Thursday night to the Bengals and Tagovailoa’s concussion, their price has dipped from +1600 to +2400.
QB Teddy Bridgewater is starting this week and possibly longer. However, Bridgewater is a capable quarterback and can definitely manage the schedule ahead. Outside of the Vikings, the Dolphins’ next seven games are very winnable, including games against the Jets, Steelers, Lions, Bears, Browns and Texans. If Bridgewater can hold down the fort and Tagovailoa can return soon, then the Dolphins’ price will go up from here.
Jacksonville Jaguars +4800
Last week I said that the Jaguars are an interesting bet at +5000. Their price went up slightly now despite losing a hard-fought game in the rain to the Eagles on the road. I think many now see the Jaguars as contenders instead of pretenders, with HC Doug Peterson righting this ship after last year’s disastrous season. The Jaguars’ next three games are against the Texans, Colts and Giants and are very winnable. I like the Jaguars as a fun long-shot Super Bowl bet this year.
