The Week 15 NFL slate ends with the defending Super Bowl champions Los Angeles Rams, led by Baker Mayfield, visiting the Green Bay Packers in Lambeau Field. The Packers are in must-win mode, as they sit at 5-8 and are more than a game and a half back from the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Let’s analyze the best Rams-Packers props, including a bet on Green Bay running back A.J. Dillon.
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Best Rams-Packers Player Props
A.J. Dillon OVER 59.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards -115 (DraftKings)
Dillon has finally been unleashed. In his last two games, with starting running back Aaron Jones banged up with an ankle injury, Dillon has totaled 32 touches and 207 yards. He ranks in the top 25 in yards per carry at 4.4 and is up to 4.7 in his last 10 games. Dillon will look to run all over a Rams team that is missing Aaron Donald in the middle and gave up 99 yards to Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs.
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The Packers will continue to be cautious with Jones tonight. He’s totaled under 13 carries in his last three games and is averaging 3.2 yards per carry during that span. He left last week’s game due to his lingering ankle injury and could be limited if the Packers jump out to an early lead. Dillon is making the most of the opportunity and playing his best football this season. He’s registered back-to-back games of three receptions for at least 25 yards and may have designed play calls for him out of the backfield against the Rams, who allow the 12th-most yards receiving to the running back position.
This is the perfect opportunity to feed Dillon at home, with temperatures hitting below 20 degrees by kickoff. Dillon has gone over this line in 7 of 13 games and 8 of 15 in his career at Lambeau Field. Look for Dillon to be the bell cow back as a 7.5-point favorite and with a banged-up Jones and Aaron Rodgers.
A.J. Dillon Most Rushing Yards of Game +250 (FanDuel)
Since these plays correlate, a half unit makes the most sense. Dillon’s volume won’t be a question, as the Packers gave him the ball 18 times last week, which tied a season high. Jones leads this market at +155 but is injured and will be looked upon in the receiving game more. Dillon has outrushed his running back mate in back-to-back games and four contests this season.
Opposing running back Cam Akers has had his flashes the last few weeks but only averaged 3.5 yards per carry last game on Thursday Night Football against the Raiders. Look for the Rams to go to Kyren Williams if they find themselves trailing in this game. Akers’ rushing line is set as low as 53.5 on FanDuel, and Dillon is at 45.5. The Packers have been shredded on the ground game the last few weeks, but those came against the Chicago Bears, Philadelphia Eagles and Tennessee Titans, who all rank in the top 5 in run pay percentage.
