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Categories NFL

Dolphins-Bills Player Prop Bet for Week 4: Tua Tagovailoa (Oct. 1)

Updated October 1, 2023 | 7:54 am CDT by Justin Martin
Dolphins-Packers Anytime Touchdown Bet for Thanksgiving (Nov. 28)

The Miami Dolphins will take on the Buffalo Bills this Sunday. They’ll have to head into Highmark Stadium for this one, and the Bills are a 2.5-point home favorite. Miami is coming off a dominant blowout over the Denver Broncos, but can they keep the momentum rolling? Let’s dive into the Dolphins-Bills player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 4, which is a bet on Tua Tagovailoa.

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Dolphins-Bills Player Prop Bet for Week 4

Dolphins-Bills Information 

Expert: Justin Martin
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Oct. 1 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
Who: Tua Tagovailoa at FanDuel

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Dolphins-Bills Player Prop Pick

The current MVP frontrunner headlines one of our top NFL player prop bets for Week 4. Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins are playing the best football of any team in the league. The offense is averaging over 40 points per game in large part because of a 70 burger they put on the Denver Broncos last week. The task will be more difficult on Sunday against a lethal Buffalo Bills offense that can put up points in the hurry and have the Dolphins play from behind.

Tagovailoa has been extremely sharp to start the season. His 71% completion percentage ranks in the top five among quarterbacks. He is also averaging over 10 yards per completion, good for first in the NFL. Jaylen Waddle will make his return after suffering a concussion in Week 2 on Sunday Night Football, which bodes well for bettors as he and Tyreek Hill can take any screen pass or slant route to the house.

Tagovailoa’s 28 pass completions against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 kicked off a great start to Tagovailoa’s season. Like that Week 1 game, Week 4’s Dolphins-Bills matchup has the highest total on the slate, with the number sitting at 53.5 on FanDuel. I expect the Bills to continue their offensive success as they’ve scored 37 and 38 points in back-to-back games, resulting in Tagovailoa having to drop back to pass more often.

Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 4! ➚➚

Best Dolphins-Bills Player Prop: Tua Tagovailoa Over 22.5 Pass Completions -122 at FanDuel

OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023 NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NFL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NFL articles, including our power rankings and division previews. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets — or try it out for Week 4 now!

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Categories NFL
Broncos-Bears Pick & Prediction: Tail This Bet for Sunday (Oct. 1)
Steelers-Texans Player Prop Bet for Week 4: C.J. Stroud (Oct. 1)
Justin Martin

Author

Justin Martin

NBA, NFL, & MLB Player Prop Analyst. Twitter: JutPicks

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