The Vegas Knights can close out their playoff series with a win tonight over the Winnipeg Jets. There’s no doubt that the Knights will be trying to mount a lock down defense to stop the Jets. However, the OddsShopper model is still finding value on one NHL prop bet for Pierre-Luc Dubois to score a goal. The best value on this one is at FanDuel, where you can find it for +220.
OddsShopper tools scour the market for positive ROI bets across all major sports betting markets. It’s easy to tail something like this Jets-Knights NHL bet once, but a subscription will allow you to access a range of opportunities. You can grab a 7-Day trial to OddsShopper Premium to give it a try. First, you should also get familiar with how the betting model makes it happen.
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Best Jets-Knights NHL Bet: Pierre Luc-Dubois Looks to Light the Lamp
Sports bettors often talk about market “inefficiencies.” By that, they mean that the price of the bet, it’s odds and Vig, are not aligned with the true probability of the bet’s chances to win. By making a bet that pays out enough when it hits to justify the investment, you come out ahead in the long run. When a market is inefficient, the prices around the sportsbooks reflect the bet’s true probability and there’s no reason to make the bet if you’re looking for a positive return.
Enter Pierre Luc-Dubois and the Winnipeg Jets. He skates on the Jets’ top line and on their first Power Play unit. There’s plenty of ice time available which will bring chances for him to score a goal in this game against the Vegas Knights. FanDuel has the bet at +220, which is paying 2.2:1 on your money.
While some betting models would look at Dubois rates in a situation like this to determine if the bet has a high expected ROI, OddsShopper’s market based model does it differently. The tool scours the entire betting industry, finding the bet’s implied win odds by learning who the sharpest linemakers are for each type of bet. In this case, the model found the sharpest books on NHL prop bets, and then identified FanDuel’s +220 line as being too far off the true number.
The implied win probability for this Jets-Rangers NHL prop bet is 33%, giving it a 4% long-term expected ROI. Something that happens one in three times is still pretty rare, so you shouldn’t break the bank on how much you wager in this spot. But it does call for a bet size at around 1.34% of your bankroll. If you do that, you’ll come out ahead– 4% ahead to be exact– in the long run.
Grab this one on Pierre-Luc Dubois before it moves. The best way to try out the tool and find more bets like this is to check out a 7-Day free Premium trial. You’ll also find more expert analysis, parlay builders and betting calculators.
Best Jets-Knights NHL Bet: Pierre Luc-Dubois (+220 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
