Tuesday’s World Cup slate features four matches across Groups C and D, kicking off at 5 a.m. ET. Check out these World Cup prediction, odds and pick on three of the four matches tomorrow, including Argentina-Saudi Arabia, Mexico-Poland and France-Australia. Be sure to check out our OddsShopper tools to find even more great bets throughout the World Cup.
World Cup Odds: Argentina-Saudi Arabia Odds
| Argentina Moneyline | -600 |
| Saudi Arabia Moneyline | +1700 |
| Draw Moneyline | +700 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals | Over: -160, Under: +130 |
| Location | Lusail Stadium, Lusail, Qatar |
| Time | 5 AM ET |
| TV | FS1 |
Martinez the Play in Efficient Game Market
The Argentina-Saudi Arabia match occupies the first window of Wednesday’s slate. Argentina are the major favorites here, with -600 moneyline odds and about 98% of the overall betting handle. these odds are well deserved, as Argentina is just one win shy of tying Italy’s remarkable 37 game unbeaten run under Roberto Mancini.
There is no value in just betting on Argentina to win this game. Moreover, it would be naïve to think that Saudi Arabia could not hold this match close or under 2.5 total goals. In their last 14 games under Hervé Renard, they have held eight clean sheets, with all fourteen going under 2.5. Likewise, Argentina have an equally impressive scoring record, netting multiple times in six out of their last eight.
I will shift to the goalscorer market as a result and put my trust in Lautaro Martinez from Inter Milan to score anytime. He has the second-shortest odds behind Lionel Messi at +110. Martinez is scoring 0.60 goals per ninety minutes for Argentina and is also mustering a non-penalty expected goals per ninety mark of 0.53, making him an easy selection.
Final Argentina-Saudi Arabia Pick: Lautaro Martinez Anytime Goal Scorer (+110, DraftKings)
World Cup Odds: Mexico-Poland Odds
| Mexico Moneyline | +155 |
| Poland Moneyline | +205 |
| Draw Moneyline | +210 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals | Over: +145, Under: -180 |
| Location | Stadium 974, Doha, Qatar |
| Time | 11 AM ET |
| TV | FOX |
Can Mexico squeeze by?
Our next World Cup bet is for Mexico-Poland in a match which will most likely decide 2nd place in Group C. It is smart to back Mexico here, despite their aging roster. A “bad” qualifying campaign for Mexico had them still finish 8-4-2, good enough for joint top in CONCACAF, next to Canada.
Additionally, Mexico’s last loss in Matchday One came all the way back in 1994 to Norway. This Mexico side just manages to shine under the World Cup lights, qualifying for the knockouts in each of the last eight tournaments.
Tata Martino’s side is going up against Poland, who are just 2-1-3 in their last six appearances. Nonetheless, this is a squad which features the offensive prowess of both Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski. Luckily for Mexico, Guillermo Ochoa is still between the sticks. The legendary keeper has three clean sheets in his last eight World Cup matches, along with a save percentage of 87.3%. For me, this is enough to see Mexico squeeze by with moneyline odds of +155.
Final Mexico-Poland Pick: Mexico Moneyline (+155, DraftKings)
World Cup Odds: France-Australia Odds
| France Moneyline | -390 |
| Australia Moneyline | +1100 |
| Draw Moneyline | +500 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals | Over: -145, Under: +115 |
| Location | Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah, Qatar |
| Time | 2 PM ET |
| TV | FOX |
Mbappe to lead French team
The last match to we get is France-Australia. A World Cup bet for France to win and Kylian Mbappe to score is also a nice splash to your Wednesday card. Realistically, Australia is out of their depth in this match; even against of France side lacking Paul Pogba and N’Golo Kante in the middle. France is 2-0-0 against Australia, including a 2-1 victory in the 2018 World Cup, which will be fresh in their memory.
France are likely to start with a new center-back pairing on Tuesday, featuring Ibou Konate and Dayot Upamecano. This change is positive for Didier Deschamps and one that will give him pace and power at the back.
On the offensive side, Mbappe has scored 11 goals in his last 10 matches for France, while also bagging 19 for PSG this season. He is a Golden Boot favorite for a reason, and his chances of scoring will only be heightened without Karim Benzema on the pitch. All in all, I like this play at -105, and am willing to sprinkle half a unit on it.
Final France-Australia Pick: Mbappe to Score + France to Win (-105, DraftKings)
