The first day of Wimbledon is in the books, with Tennis bettors patiently awaiting Tuesday’s action. The day kicks off with a matchup between English native George Loffhagen vs. the world’s sixth ranked player, Holger Rune. Let’s take a look at the tennis betting model to find the best Loffhagen-Rune Wimbledon bet.
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Best Wimbledon Bet: George Loffhagen Looks to Hang With Holger Rune
Loffhagen-Rune Tennis Odds
Via, BetRivers Sportsbook
George Loffhagen: +1000 | Holger Rune: -2000
Over 30.5 Games: -114 | Under 30.5: -112
Goerge Loffhagen has made it to the ATP Tour just at the right time. The Brit participated in Challenger events until last week when he put up a strong performance at the Eastbourne Invitational. Although Loffhagen dropped his first round match to Luca Van Asssche he proved to be a worthy competitor at this level. The two players did battle in a 3-set match in which Sets 2 and 3 both went to tiebreaks. Loffhagen proved that he can hang with mid-to lower level ATP opponents as he now looks to up his game and make a big splash at Wimbledon.
Doing so won’t be easy. Loffhagen’s Round 1 opponent at Wimbledon is Holger Rune, who is ranked #6 in the world. Rune is proving to have serious potential on tour. The 20-year old showed he is a name to be reckoned it after advancing to the Quarter Finals at last month’s French Open. He ultimately succumbed to Casper Ruud at Roland Garros, but created serious momentum heading into Wimbledon.
Rune enters Round 1 as a massive -2000 moneyline favorite over George Loffhagen. However, there’s still value to be had on the tennis match prop betting market. The match’s spread of +1.5 (+600) for Loffhagen is mispriced at BetRivers. The true odds for this Wimbledon bet are +528, giving it about an 11% expected value. The bet should win 16% of the time, so you’ll want to limit your stakes to about 1.5% of your bank roll using the Kelly Criterion for bank roll management. But despite the long odds, this is a tennis bet worth picking up before the market becomes efficient.
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