Wimbledon Tennis Bets: Aryna Sabalenka Looks to March Past Ons Jabeur (July 13)

Wimbledon Tennis Bets: Aryna Sabalenka Looks to March Past Ons Jabeur

Ons Jabeur-Aryna Sabalenka Odds, via FanDuel Sportsbook
Ons Jabeur: +126 | Aryna Sabalenka: -152
Over 22.5 Games: -112 | Under 22.5 Games -118
Over 2.5 Sets: +110 | Under 2.5 Sets: -144

Aryna Sabalenka is favored to beat Ons Jabeur in Thursday’s match, but doing so won’t be easy. While Jabeur has been up and down as of late, she has maneuvered her way through a tough Wimbledon field to find herself one match away from the finals. It would be familiar territory for Jabeur. She reached last year’s Wimbledon final before losing to Elena Rybakina. Jabeur made it to the final of the U.S. Open later in 2022, as well. After getting so close to the final a year ago, Jabeur should bring both hunger and experience to the court on Thursday.

However, despite never winning at Wimbledon, Sabalenka has Grand Slam experience on her side too. The semi-finalist took down the Australian Open earlier this year for her first Grand Slam championship. Sabalenka lost the first set of the Australian Open final off of Rybakina but got the reverse sweep, winning sets two and three 6-3, and 6-4. She will look to carry that success and experience to another Grand Slam finale when she takes on Ons Jabeur.

Sabalenka enters her match against Jabeur as a -152 tennis betting favorite. Unfortunately, there isn’t a lot of positive expected valueleft on these efficient Jabeur-Sabalenka tennis betting markets. If you are looking for a sweat though, OddsShopper’s betting model has identified a slight edge just at 1% in the set betting. FanDuel has this one to go under 2.5 sets priced at -144, but the true odds are roughly -149. It has a 60% win probability and is worth risking 1.5% of your bankroll using the Kelly Criterion staking method for sustainable growth.

OddsShopper uses a market-based betting model that finds the efficient price at the sharpest sportsbook and then identifies which outlets are off from the number. The topdown method consistently produces edges on several markets, including tennis bets for Wimbledon and the entire season. Stay tuned for more best bets and expert analyses applying the model!

Best Ons Jabeur-Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Tennis Bet: Under 2.5 Sets (-144) at FanDuel