Monday delivers an eight-game MLB slate where pitching props get tricky and hitting props offer compensatory value to start the week. Thankfully, with such risky odds on the bill BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000! If you haven’t already, sign up at BetMGM to designate your own no-strings attached wager. If the outcome goes awry, it’s at absolutely no further commitment to you while you’re matched with an equal value bet of your selection. With a day of dicey pitching ahead, let’s proceed to our betting picks and go over some of the best MLB prop bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 8/29
Ranger Suarez O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Ranger Suarez has enjoyed a prominent August resume and draws a 4.5 total strikeouts prop at -111 on the over against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Suarez has averaged just under 5.2 innings pitched per game and struck out 0.85 hitters per inning for a 20.2% strikeout rate and .244 average against this season. Suarez is paced for 4.63 strikeouts tonight while the Diamondbacks are expected to start five hitters with upward of a 21% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. If Suarez makes it through the Arizona order twice, he should achieve the five necessary strikeouts on the over should his evening not end abruptly. The Diamondbacks have forged some recent success at the plate yet strikeout a collective 23% with a 90 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers. Suarez has notched five or more strikeouts in four of his past five performances while the 11% juice on a moderate strikeout total makes for one of the best MLB betting picks today.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Ranger Suarez OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (-111)
Bryce Harper O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Bryce Harper is back in the Phillies starting lineup and draws a 1.5 total bases prop at +100 on the over against Madison Bumgarner. Following two months on the injured list, Harper represents a .291 batting average, .898 OPS and .215 ISO against left-handed pitching. Bumgarner has seen better days allowing a 44% hard-contact rate and 9.2% barrel rate and allowing six home runs over his past six starts. Bumgarner has also struck out 15.7% of lefty hitters with a 5.3 xFIP and 1.39 WHIP this season.
If Harper’s need for two bases on hits is too steep an ask for you, BetMGM is offering a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000! Should Harper come up shy of the total bases prop tonight, you’ll be matched with an equal value wager of your choice; no questions asked and no further commitments. Harper has a hit in each of his past three performances since returning from injury and has a welcoming matchup against Bumgarner at even-money odds.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Bryce Harper OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Paul Goldschmidt O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Paul Goldschmidt is having an MVP frontrunner season with an 0.5 total home runs prop at +240 odds on the over against Chase Anderson. Anderson returns to the mound following a hiatus since last season with a .266 average against and 1.48 WHIP in 2021 with Philadelphia. Facing right-handed hitting, Anderson surrendered 2.49 home runs per nine innings, a .357 average against and 15.8% home-run-to-fly-ball rate. Goldschmidt has ripped right-handed pitching for a .316 batting average, .257 ISO and 23 home runs against the split this year, including two home runs against the Chicago Cubs just four days ago. Though the plus-money odds aren’t as long as we’d care to seek in this prop category, a matchup against Anderson in his first start since last season urges a set-and-forget type of wager on Goldschmidt to plant one in the stands once again.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Paul Goldschmidt OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+240)
Luis Arraez O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Luis Arraez has been a saving grace for the Minnesota Twins and draws a 1.5 total bases prop at +100 odds on the over against Brayan Bello. Bello came into the league this season with high hopes and since dwindled with a .368 average against, 2.52 WHIP and 4.36 xFIP against left-handed hitters. Arraez is arguably the Twins’ best weapon against right-handed pitching with a .341 batting average, .857 OPS and 150 wRC+. Arraez doesn’t offer the most power by any means but strikes out against righties at just a 7% clip with a .358 BABIP. Bello’s leash may be short, yet the Boston bullpen offers a 4.09 xFIP and 1.35 WHIP for Arraez to look forward to in later innings. With another prop providing intriguing even-money odds, grab the over on Arraez to secure two or more bases against Bello & Co., tonight.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Luis Arraez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
