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Best Warriors-Mavericks Prop Bet: Fade Stephen Curry in Dallas

The 11-9 Golden State Warriors will face off with the 9-10 Dallas Mavericks tonight, and both teams are looking to turn their regular seasons around. The Mavericks, who rank eighth in net rating (1.9), find themselves on a four-game skid. They’ll have a tough task ending Golden State’s three-game winning streak. Bettors looking for a positive return on tonight’s action should tail this Warriors-Mavericks prop bet — or check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

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Best Warriors-Mavericks Prop Bet | November 29

Stephen Curry O/U 27.5 Points

Few players have started the season as hot as Stephen Curry. The star guard is averaging 31.4 points and 5.2 made triples per game this year. He is on pace for the second second-best season of his career in both metrics. But Curry’s hot start to the year makes him a sharp fade for tonight’s action.

The Dallas Mavericks are a tough matchup for Curry. They rank a respectable 11th in defensive rating (110.9) but play at the NBA’s slowest pace. As a result, they have allowed the fourth-fewest points (107.3) and made threes (10.7) per game. Dallas has closed out well on above-the-break triples — they have given up the fewest makes (7.4) on the fewest attempts (21.3) per game from that part of the floor. Curry takes an average of 10.3 above-the-break threes per game and rarely shoots from the corner.

The Mavericks have just had opposing point guards’ numbers. They have allowed the sixth-fewest points (21.3) and second-fewest triples (2) per game to the position. Their defense has regressed slightly of late — Jrue Holiday scored 16 against them on Sunday, and Fred VanVleet racked up 26 on Saturday. But the Mavericks have had a day off to get right and should approach Tuesday’s contest as a must-win.

Dallas even had Curry’s number last year as well. Curry failed to clear this number in any of his four regular-season games against them. He averaged only 20 points per game despite averaging 35.8 minutes. He didn’t even fare that well in their playoff series, either — Curry averaged 23.8 points per game in the Western Conference Finals and stayed under in three of the five games. He played in the American Airlines Center four times and averaged 21.5 points per game, going over only once.

Best NBA Player Prop: Stephen Curry UNDER 27.5 Points (-108 for 1.08 Units) at FanDuel

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