The Tennessee Volunteers play the Georgia Bulldogs, and the Alabama Crimson Tide face the LSU Tigers on Saturday. In our continued college football odds coverage, it’s time to present our Tennessee-Georgia prediction and Alabama-LSU prediction.
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College Football Odds: Tennessee-Georgia Odds
Bulldogs Look Like The Sharp Play
Georgia is coming off a national championship, and it brought back many key starters. While it did have close battles against unlikely foes like Kent State and Missouri, Georgia has, by far and away, been among the most dominant teams in college football. They sit 6th in points per game and 2nd in opponents’ points per game. While much can be made of the Bulldogs’ schedule, they help Oregon to 3 points, South Carolina to 7 and Auburn to 10. They allow just 85.5 rushing yards per game, and their opponents average just a 53.6% completion rate. This is a dominant team on both sides of the ball.
Tennessee can somewhat say the same, but defensively, it has had its struggles. The Vols allow over 300 yards through the air which is going to be an issue against an accurate, tested quarterback like Stetson Bennett. Tennessee has had just two road games this season, a 34-27 win over Pitt and a 40-13 win over LSU. That’s it for it on the road. This is going a chaotic environment, and while QB Hendon Hooker is a stud, he’s yet to go against a defense of this caliber. Even Alabama doesn’t have the cornerbacks that Georgia will bring onto the field Saturday.
Georgia is also a strong public fade it seems, and in sports betting, you typically don’t want to be following the crowd.
“Tennessee-Georgia is the most bet game, it’s been one way action on Tennessee all week long. Georgia might be our biggest need of not just the week but the season.”
– Seamus Magee, Sports Trader, @BetMGM
87% of bets on @Vol_Football +8 at Georgia.
— John Ewing ? (@johnewing) November 4, 2022
Back the Bulldogs here.
Final Tennessee-Georgia Prediction: Georgia -8.0 (-110) BetMGM
College Football Odds: Alabama-LSU Odds
Tigers Are Hot And Winning In Death Valley Is Difficult
LSU is 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) as a home underdog since 2020, and while some early-season losses brought its stock down, LSU has been surging as of late. The Tigers destroyed No. 7 Ole Miss last week, winning 45-20. Aside from a home loss to Tennessee and a neutral-field loss to Florida State (who I think is an underrated program this season), the Tigers are 6-0. They are 4-1 in SEC play. LSU can beat you in many ways, and that’s a key reason why it can cover. QB Jayden Daniels leads the team in rushing and passing with 1,812 passing yards and 12 touchdowns through the air and 524 rushing yards and another 9 touchdowns. He’s a stud for the Tigers. LSU also has an elite defense that has forced a fumble per game and ranks 27th in the nation in opponents’ points per game.
On the other hand, Alabama is getting almost two touchdowns, and it will still likely be a public darling. QB Bryce Young could be the best in the country, but the Crimson Tide is just 1-2 ATS as the road side this season. Alabama has been incredible this season by most metrics, except on the road. It beat Texas which was down its best quarterback 20-19, crushed Arkansas 49-26 (Arkansas is now unranked) and lost to Tennessee. Young is the real deal, but the shifty Hooker gave them problems, and those could be repeated on the road against Daniels. The Crimson Tide’s main weakness defensively is its pass defense, allowing 201.8 yards per game. Given that’s the way LSU should want its offense attacking, the Tigers should be able to points on the board.
Expect a high-scoring battle, one that results in at least an LSU cover.
Final Alabama-LSU Prediction: LSU +13.5 (-110) BetMGM
