The NFL will bring plenty of football to enjoy for the holiday weekend, which means there are a ton of options to sift through on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best props to target. Also, check out our NFL Player Props Tool to help you make all of your selections.
NFL Player Props for Week 16: No House Advantage
Justin Jefferson, MIN vs. NYG: Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
In a wild comeback against the Colts last week, Jefferson caught 12 passes for 123 yards and a touchdown. It was his ninth game of the season with at least 100 receiving yards and his fifth with at least 10 receptions. He was targeted a whopping 16 times as the Vikings played catchup, giving him a total of 31 targets over his last two games.
Jefferson enters most matchup with a high receiving yards floor because of his heavy workload. The Vikings have given him at least 11 targets in a game 10 times. The Giants will once again be without their best cornerback Adoree’ Jackson (knee), leaving Jefferson to potentially feast on the likes of Fabian Moreau, Nick McCloud and Darnay Holmes. The NFL Player Props Tool has Jefferson projected to finish with 102.5 receiving yards.
Deshaun Watson, CLE vs. NO: Under 197.5 Passing Yards
The Browns and Ravens scored a combined 16 points in Week 15, so there wasn’t much offense to speak of on either side. Watson only attempted 28 passes, completing 18 of them for 161 yards and a touchdown. He has played in three games since his return from suspension and he threw for 161 yards or fewer in two of them.
This game is shaping up to be ugly in terms of the weather. Passing might be difficult, so a run-heavy approach could be taken by both teams. If that happens, Watson will have a difficult time reaching the over on this mark. The NFL Player Props Tool has Watson projected to finish with 176.1 passing yards.
DK Metcalf, SEA at KC: Over 5.5 Receptions
The Seahawks chances of making the playoffs suffered a blow with Tyler Lockett breaking a finger last week against the 49ers. He has been one of the driving forces behind their better-than-expected passing game, posting 78 receptions for 964 yards and eight touchdowns. He already has 108 targets, marking his four straight season with at least 100 targets.
Now that Lockett is out of the picture against the Chiefs, Metcalf is the clear top receiving option for the Seahawks. Even with Lockett healthy, Metcalf has at least six receptions in four of his last five games. The Seahawks will likely need to throw a lot to keep up with the Chiefs, setting up Metcalf for a hefty workload.
D’Onta Foreman, CAR vs. DET: Over 58.5 Rushing Yards
Foreman was shut down by the Steelers last week, turning 10 carries into only nine yards. The Steelers have allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game in the league, so Foreman’s struggles against them aren’t much of a surprise. Chuba Hubbard couldn’t get anything going either, rushing four times for 10 yards.
Prior to last week’s dud, Foreman had rushed for at least 74 yards in five of his last seven games. He even had four performances of at least 113 rushing yards. This is a much more favorable matchup against a Lions team that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game in the league, so look for Foreman to get back to his productive ways.
