Welcome to Eytan’s NFL same-game parlay picks and Chargers-Colts prediction for Week 16 Monday Night Football tonight (12/26/22). Eytan goes over all of his free NFL picks and parlays for tonight’s MNF game.
Today’s three-leg NFL same-game parlay includes a prop on Mike Williams against a Colts defense that has proven to be decent enough to limit red zone touchdowns through the air.
Chargers-Colts Same Game Parlay | Monday Night Football
“We’re better off targeting a guy that we know is going to have chances — chances as far as a target, chances for big plays and even in the red zone. And here’s the thing: The Colts don’t give up a ton of red zone scores, so you’re going to find bigger plays a result of how you can get some points here, and especially a touchdown for a guy like Mike Williams.”
The Colts, for as bad as they are, have a pretty stingy pass defense in the red zone, so Eytan is finding value with Williams as an anytime touchdown scorer, as he is a massive threat to break off a big play at any time.
And whether you agree with him or not, you can head over to OddsShopper and set your own parlay using the Parlay Builder, which uses OddsShopper’s tools to set up the best multi-bet play for the MNF slate.
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Stokastic NFL Player Props Tool
Betting NFL player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today. Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds, and there are so many that they can’t get them all right. The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser-skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets. That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.
The expected win probability is determined by comparing the Stokastic simulations against these prop lines to give you the probability that each bet will win and the long-term ROI you should expect on similar bets. These ROI’s are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentage of your bankroll you should wager on each bet since some high ROI bets may be long shots – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.
Stokastic NFL DFS Tools
NFL DFS Single-Game Projections
These comprehensive projections calculate each player on the NFL slate and factor in all stats, projected playing time, opportunity, etc. to determine total fantasy points for DraftKings and FanDuel. These projections are uploaded morning of the single-game slate and continuously updated throughout the day as news and information is released. Like with all of Stokastic’s industry-leading projections, you can utilize them when making your NFL DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings fantasy football lineups.
