Welcome to the OddsShopper Expert Golf Betting Picks for the 2022 Tour Championship. OddsShopper golf betting experts have outlined their favorite bets and 2022 Tour Championship predictions. The betting odds have shifted a bit after Will Zalatoris was forced to withdraw with a back injury, but we’ve analyzed all of the best odds and found some profitable angles to bet on (and don’t miss out on these two longshot bets). Let’s get to our experts’ favorite Tour Championship betting picks this week.
2022 Tour Championship Predictions & Betting Picks
Ben Rasa’s Pick: Xander Schauffele | RISK FREE Bet
Outright 7-1 (BetMGM)
With only 30 players and scores applied before the tournament begins, this is a unique week. Logically, someone towards the top of the board should win, but there is some value going against Scottie Scheffler, who starts at -10. Xander Schauffele sits in fourth position at -6, and with 72 holes, that’s more than enough time to pick up ground. A previous winner at East Lake, and coming off a quality BMW Championship, Schauffele is checking all the boxes. He isn’t a longshot by any stretch at 7-1, but he still provides some value at that price given where he is positioned. I wouldn’t fault anyone for going even longer, but of the top-end guys, Schauffele’s price caught my eye.
Geoff Ulrich’s Pick: Sam Burns | RISK FREE Bet
Outright (without starting strokes) +2200 (DraftKings) | Top five (with starting strokes) +225 (DraftKings)
The game within a game this week will provide some interesting betting opportunities. Sam Burns has come from behind a couple of different times to post victories in 2022 (Valspar and Colonial), and with him starting 5 back — and given favorable Bermuda greens to work with — I have no qualms about giving him a shot to do it a third time this week. Burns gained 4.7 strokes putting at East Lake last season, and his 5-under starting score is exactly where Rory McIlroy started in 2019 to win the event.
I’d rather take Burns in the outright market “without strokes,” though, as he’s the same price on DraftKings there as he is with starting strokes. Regardless, Burns is an aggressive player and will look to push limits early, which is what any player hoping to compete will need to do in this format. The price feels good here on a player with a proven track record of converting late deficits into wins.
Eytan Shander’s Pick: Sungjae Im | RISK FREE Bet
Outright (+3000 BetMGM)
Just one stroke behind Burns sits a group of five golfers at 4 under, including Rory McIlroy and Tony Finau. As expected, since McIlroy has done this before, the value is zapped on taking him outright. The same is true with Finau given the amazing stretch of winning golf to end the season. The one name that does pop, both off the page and with value, is Sungjae Im. He is similar to Finau in how he ended the season on a positive stretch, especially after dreadful performances at both the Scottish and Open Championships. Since then, Im has made four straight top-15s and is prime to do one of two things, helping his case as a 30-1 long shot.
Im has the potential to outlast a lot of his competitors, playing balanced golf and avoiding mistakes. Like everyone, the variance comes with the flat stick, where he’s 36th overall in strokes gained putting. It’s getting to the green where Im shines and can truly separate himself from the pack — allowing for that second possible outcome of making a big run on Thursday. Im is ninth on tour in strokes gained off the tee, eighth in strokes gained around the green and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. That helps make up one of the more complete players on tour, sitting ninth in total strokes gained. Don’t count out Im to make a flash or simply grind down those above him.
