We’re on a 4-0 heater with our MLB prop bets, and today we’re aiming to stretch it to 6-0. In this video, we have three data-backed bets pulled straight from the OddsShopper tools — including one of the best MLB home run prop bets today. If you’re looking for the MLB best prop bets, this is the post you need to see before locking in anything.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Home Run Props & More
Here’s a quick recap of the featured props:
- Logan Webb – Under 1.5 Earned Runs
- Ketel Marte – Over 0.5 Singles
- Kyle Tucker – +430 to Hit a Home Run
All three bets are pulled using Portfolio EV, which scan every book and every line to surface the best +EV opportunities. This is how bettors stay ahead of the market and find the MLB best prop bets today, including hard-to-spot edges on MLB strikeout bets today and home run props.
What Is +EV? Understanding Positive Expected Value in Sports Betting
A +EV (positive expected value) bet means you’re getting the better end of the odds — the probability of winning is higher than what the sportsbook’s price implies. If your bet wins more often than the breakeven percentage, it’s profitable in the long run. But if it hits less often, it becomes a -EV (negative expected value) bet — and that’s how bettors slowly lose money over time.
Example: Let’s say the Bears are +3.5 home underdogs against the Packers, and the line is set at -110. At -110 odds, the breakeven point is roughly 52.4%. So if you think the Bears cover more than 52.4% of the time, it’s a +EV bet — a smart, statistically sound wager.
