Prices as of Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 3:32 p.m. ET; fair-price rows captured 2:41 p.m. ET.
Every hitter edge on Wednesday's board is an under: OddsShopper's fair price, the sharp books' two-sided lines with their margin stripped out, finds three rows paying more than they should at a takeable book, and not one of them is an over. The largest: Taylor Walls under 0.5 hits at -175 (BetMGM 🎁) against a fair -186; then Yandy Díaz under 1.5 total bases at -171 (DraftKings 🎁) against a fair -176; then Victor Mesa Jr. under 0.5 total bases at -110 (Fanatics) against a fair -111. That is what a one-game October board looks like: few hitters, many books on each of them, and the gap between the best of those books and the fair price is where the edges live. The hits board below carries the best over and the best under on the deepest posted lines, and the one row where the books disagree most.
Where the Fair Price Beats the Book
These are the hitter rows OddsShopper's +EV board flags on Wednesday's games (the board's one pitcher row on the same games, Jacob Misiorowski's hits allowed, sits outside this page): each is a price a takeable book posts above the fair number for that line, and the edge is the gap between the two, nothing more.
| Play | Fair | Best price (book) | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls under 0.5 hits | -186 | -175 (BetMGM 🎁) | 2.2% |
| Yandy Díaz under 1.5 total bases | -176 | -171 (DraftKings 🎁) | 1.1% |
| Victor Mesa Jr. under 0.5 total bases | -111 | -110 (Fanatics) | 0.4% |
Taylor Walls is the row to read closely. He went hitless in 52 of 118 regular-season games this year, 44% of them; the fair price puts a hitless game at 65% tonight and BetMGM's -175 pays as if it were 64%. The 21 points between his season rate and tonight's fair number are the market pricing Jacob Misiorowski rather than his summer, which is why the under here is a price bet and not a slump call. The edge is what the gap between 65% and 64% pays, 2.2%, one book posting a price above the market. His last line: 0-for-4 in the postseason opener.
OddsShopper finds these rows for you.It reads the sharp books that set the fair line, prices every market against it, and lists only the plays paying better than fair, across every sport it covers. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code HITPROPS20 takes 20% off your first payment.
The MLB Hit Props Board
The edges above come from comparing books on one line; the board below does that for the sixteen hitters with the deepest two-sided markets posted: the consensus line, then the best over and the best under across every book OddsShopper tracks, deepest markets first. The full list is on the OddsShopper hits board.
| Hitter | Line | Best Over (book) | Best Under (book) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 hits | -125 (NoVig) | +120 (BetMGM 🎁) | 28 |
| Yandy Díaz (TB) | 0.5 hits | -208 (NoVig) | +199 (NoVig) | 28 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 hits | -163 (NoVig) | +156 (NoVig) | 27 |
| Jonathan Deluca (TB) | 0.5 hits | -144 (NoVig) | +135 (PointsBet) | 27 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -165 (BetMGM 🎁) | +160 (NoVig) | 26 |
| Cooper Pratt (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -150 (BetMGM 🎁) | +153 (NoVig) | 26 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -125 (BetMGM 🎁) | +125 (Bet99ON) | 26 |
| Liam Hicks (TB) | 0.5 hits | -125 (NoVig) | +117 (NoVig) | 26 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -164 (Bovada) | +159 (Polymarket US) | 25 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 hits | -156 (NoVig) | +144 (NoVig) | 25 |
| Taylor Walls (TB) | 0.5 hits | +178 (NoVig) | -165 (LeoVegas) | 25 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -220 (BetMGM 🎁) | +199 (NoVig) | 25 |
| David Hamilton (MIL) | 0.5 hits | +100 (Bet99ON) | +100 (TheScore) | 24 |
| Garrett Mitchell (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -127 (NoVig) | +115 (Bet99ON) | 24 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 hits | -145 (Bet99ON) | +141 (DraftKings 🎁) | 23 |
| Richie Palacios (TB) | 0.5 hits | +106 (BetOnline) | -122 (PrizePicks) | 22 |
The row where the books disagree most is Taylor Walls's 0.5 line: the best over is +178 at NoVig and the best under -165 at LeoVegas. Those two prices add up to 98% for the two outcomes, well under the hundred-plus a single book charges for both sides; a gap that wide usually means at least one of the two quotes is stale or thin, not free money, and it is why the number is worth checking on every row, not only the ones you like. Some of those best prices sit where many US readers cannot bet: NoVig and Polymarket US are exchanges rather than sportsbooks; Bet99ON takes Ontario bettors only; BetOnline sits offshore. The edges table above is built from takeable books only.
The Read
Every edge on this page is bettable at BetMGM, DraftKings and Fanatics. The board runs 28 books deep on Jonathan Aranda and 22 on Richie Palacios, and it keeps filling through the afternoon. The OddsShopper live odds screen for hits re-prices every row through each first pitch, and the live home run prop odds do the same for the long ball.
Odds are the best available at the stamp above and move quickly; shop live prices on OddsShopper. Matchups via the MLB schedule. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
More on this: MLB Picks Hub: Today's Live Boards and Series · MLB Strikeout Props Today: Every Edge Is on the Under · MLB Total Bases Props Today: Every Edge Is on the Under · MLB Home Run Picks Today (8/25): Yordan Alvarez & More · NRFI Picks Today: Only 1 of 15 Games Has Value
