Thursdays in the MLB always seem to be split slates, so this 10x parlay will attack the later games for the most part. The 10x parlay features the top ROI bets in the market based on simulations from Stokastic’s team of data scientists. These parlays are built to exceed at least 10 times the initial bet. This piece will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.
MLB Picks and Parlays Today 9/1
Spencer Strider O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The 10x parlay is once again finding a side to take when the Colorado Rockies are on the road. This has become a popular trend, but this time the parlay suggests taking the under strikeout prop. Atlanta Braves young phenom Spencer Strider will take the mound tonight, but his over/under strikeout prop sits at a lofty 7.5 in this matchup. Stokastic projects Strider to capture 6.7 strikeouts, which gives the under a 64% chance of hitting. Getting to eight or more strikeouts has been difficult for Strider. He has only done that twice in his last seven starts. Strider has thrown over 100 pitches in back-to-back starts, which is rare for him. In the middle of July he also threw 100+ pitches in back-to-back starts and then got rocked in his third straight start allowing five earned runs through four innings and only striking out four Washington Nationals batters. Strider may have a 36.7% strikeout rate, but fatigue and getting to eight strikeouts seems like a tall task.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Spencer Strider UNDER 7.5 Strikeouts (-133)
Kyle Bradish O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Baltimore Orioles rookie Kyle Bradish has had early success in the major leagues, at least when it comes to generating strikeouts. That talent will be put to the test tonight against the Cleveland Guardians, who have the league’s lowest strikeout rate. However, their low strikeout rate has moved this prop line all the way down to 3.5, which is extremely low. Bradish has captured four or more strikeouts in six straight starts and in every start since coming back from injury. During that time, he is averaging 5.5 strikeouts per game. That may not seem like a lot, but it is still well over this 3.5 strikeout prop line. Stokastic projects Bradish for 4.4 strikeouts despite the difficult matchup. Similar to Strider, this under has an xWin rate of 64%. Bradish’s strikeout rate of 22.4% is not nearly as high as what he did in the minor leagues, but again this prop line is simply too low for his upside.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Kyle Bradish OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-161)
Chris Bassitt O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Arguably the most consistent pitcher on the New York Mets staff this season has been veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt. In his first year with the Mets, Bassitt leads the team in ERA and innings pitched. He also has tied his career high with a 6.1% walk rate, while also having a respectable 22.8% strikeout rate. Facing the Los Angeles Dodgers is a difficult matchup, but Bassitt is a very tough pitcher to intimidate. He should be Conner McGregor-walking onto the mound with how well he has pitched recently. Bassitt is 4-0 in his last five starts allowing only six earned runs in his last 33.1 innings pitched. Even though he took the loss against the Dodgers in their only meeting of the season in early June, Bassitt was able to get eight strikeouts. Longevity is also never a concern with Bassitt as he has topped 100 pitches in nine of his 24 starts, while averaging 98.1 pitches per start. Stokastic projects 5.4 strikeouts for Bassitt tonight against the Dodgers. Another bet that is above a 60% xWin rate. Lock in another quality Chris Bassitt start.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Chris Bassitt OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-167)
Glenn Otto O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
In his first full season in the major leagues, Glen Otto has struggled with a 6-8 record and 4.79 ERA. Where he really has a difficult time is generating strikeouts. Otto has a very low 16.9% strikeout rate this season and an extremely high 12.4% walk rate. The Rangers will open up a new series on the road at Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox. Even with it being a down year for the Red Sox, they still rank middle of the pack in terms of strikeout rate. Otto will have his hands full trying to deal with this lineup, especially when trying to get swings and misses. Stokastic projects Otto for only 3.4 strikeouts, which is just below this strikeout prop line. The last leg of this 10x parlay has an xWin rate of 55%.
Best MLB Parlay Pick Today: Glenn Otto UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (-110)
