Week 14 of the NFL is here, and we have 11 games on the main slate from which to choose player props. Bill-Chiefs has the highest total of the week of 48.5, and with just a 1-point spread, it should be a shootout. The Texans-Jets are playing with the lowest total of the week at just 32.5. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks plays for NFL Week 14, starting with Alvin Kamara.
With the assistance of OddsShopper’s PrizePicks optimizer, I’ve designed these plays to help you make informed choices and maximize your chances of success. If you aren’t on PrizePicks yet, you can find the best PrizePicks promo code here.
NFL PrizePicks Predictions for Week 14
Alvin Kamara, More/Less Than 0.5 Pass + Rush + Receiving Touchdowns
The Saints are 6-point home favorites and will have Derek Carr playing quarterback after being questionable all week. We also got word that Taysom Hill will not play, providing more red zone opportunities for Alvin Kamara. Hill has vultured many touchdowns from running backs this year, and the fact that he’s not playing makes me even more confident in this play.
Kamara has just five touchdowns in nine games this season, but that’s about to change. He’s second on the team in both targets (69) and receptions (60) and is averaging 14.8 rushing attempts per game. He gets a dream matchup against Carolina, who has allowed a league-worst 20 total touchdowns to the running back position.
NFL PrizePicks Play: Alvin Kamara More Than 0.5 Pass + Rush + Receiving Touchdowns
Kylen Granson, More/Less Than 12.5 Receiving Yards
Kylen Granson averages 12.4 yards per reception on 3.1 targets per game from the tight end position for the Colts. The Colts have thrown the ball much more since Gardner Minshew took over at quarterback. That will continue today against the Bengals, who allow the fourth-most passing yards in the NFL.
Granson is coming off a three-catch, 72-yard game against the Titans and gets the best matchup he’ll see all season. The Bengals have allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends and the second-most receptions per game at 6.7. This is not a sexy play by any means, but it’s a smart one.
NFL PrizePicks Play: Kylen Granson More Than 12.5 Receiving Yards
Van Jefferson, More/Less Than 10.5 Receiving Yards
I felt the need to include this pick today to show the power of OddsShopper’s tools. The Positive EV Bets tool searches and analyzes props from every operator to find the best odds and expected value. The EV for this Van Jefferson prop of more than 10.5 receiving yards has an 8% EV score and a 59% win percentage, the two best PrizePicks percentages for NFL on the board.
Tampa Bay allows the third-most yards to wide receivers and the 10th-most receptions. The Buccaneers give up big plays, and that’s Jefferson’s game. Although he’s only had 16 targets with the Falcons, his 19.2 average depth of target leads the team. Everything this week is leaning towards a pass-heavy game from Atlanta, and with the backing of the best tool in the business, I’m going more than here.
NFL PrizePicks Play: Van Jefferson, More Than 10.5 Receiving Yards
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