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Categories MLB

PrizePicks MLB Player Projections: Good Spot to Fade Nolan Arenado (May 24)

May 24, 2023 | 12:23 PM by Isaiah Sirois
The best MLB player prop bets and home run picks for today, Thursday, May 9, including a bet for Nolan Arenado...

It’s another busy day of baseball action. Although several games are scheduled for afternoon starts, plenty of value remains on the evening slate. Let’s dig into the best MLB player projections to target at PrizePicks tonight using OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder, including Nolan Arenado! Sharp PrizePicks players know that the best flex entries feature more than four picks, so for more plays with positive expected value, sign up for OddsShopper Premium.

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PrizePicks MLB Player Projections: 

Jose Siri More/Less 0.5 Bases

The Tampa Bay Rays remain will host the Toronto Blue Jays again tonight. Tampa Bay allowed Toronto to score 20 runs last night, but PrizePicks players should expect a much closer game this evening. The Blue Jays will start LHP Yusei Kikuchi, and Jose Siri owns a solid .300 OBP against lefties. Siri should record at least one base 55% of the time.

MLB PrizePicks Play: Jose Siri More 0.5 Bases

Riley Greene More/Less 1.5 Bases

The Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals will square off in Missouri tonight, and OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder believes that it’s a good idea to fade Riley Greene here. The Royals will start veteran RHP Zack Greinke. Greene has performed well against right-handed pitching this year, but the market is a bit too keen on him after a hot start. With this number inflated to 1.5, sell high.

MLB PrizePicks Play: Riley Greene Less 1.5 Bases

Haven’t signed up for PrizePicks yet? You’re missing out — a winning entry can earn you up to 25x your stake! New users who register today can get up to a $100 deposit match. 

Nolan Arenado More/Less 1.5 Bases

Like Greene, Nolan Arenado owns an inflated bases total. Arenado owns a tough .281 OBP in away games. He also takes on RHP Ben Lively, and his .297 OBP against right-handed pitching doesn’t inspire much confidence. Arenado shouldn’t record more than a single total base 54% of the time, per OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder.

MLB PrizePicks Play: Nolan Arenado Less 1.5 Bases

Ben Lively More/Less 3.5 Strikeouts

Speaking of RHP Ben Lively, Cincinnati’s starting pitcher should do plenty of damage against the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, at least relative to the market’s expectations. Lively struck out eight batters in his last outing against the New York Yankees. Let’s back him to record more than four tonight, which he should do at least 53% of the time.

MLB PrizePicks Play: Ben Lively More 3.5 Strikeouts

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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