Ketel Marte at +377 headlined the Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres home run board — every priced bat is below, with the book that paid the most on each.
On the board for Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres: Ketel Marte, Fernando Tatis Jr., Gavin Sheets, Corbin Carroll, Jackson Merrill, Manny Machado are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 100+ sportsbooks below.
The board ranks by market price, not by our conviction — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. The tailable plays from real experts sit below it, and the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another, so the OddsShopper home run odds screen is where to check the live number.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | +377 | PolymarketUS | 21.0% | 36 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | +402 | PolymarketUS | 19.9% | 37 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | +450 | HardRock | 18.2% | 36 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | +450 | Unibet | 18.2% | 35 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | +451 | ProphetX | 18.1% | 35 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | +456 | Kalshi | 18.0% | 29 |
| Max Kepler (ARI) | +550 | Fanatics | 15.4% | 34 |
| Jase Bowen (SD) | +630 | FanDuel 🎁 | 13.7% | 4 |
The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- MisterMarkot on Tails (#3 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes these plays:
- FullProofSportsBetting on Tails likes Over 7.5 Total Runs (-133). Bet now
- ShanderBets on Tails likes 2-leg parlay on this game (+3720). Bet now
- TheMick23 on Tails likes Michael King Over 17.5 Total Pitching Outs (-111). Bet now → Fanatics
- @BettingPix on Tails likes Under 9 Total Runs (-130).
OddsShopper is a Polymarket partner and may earn a commission if you sign up through our links. 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
More from these experts on Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres. @BettingPix, FullProofSportsBetting, MisterMarkot, ShanderBets, TheMick23 post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. The matchup matters far less than the price: OddsShopper reads the sharp sportsbooks that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays across every market at the click of a button — no hours of research, and no deep knowledge of the sport required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results, so you can see how the number has actually performed before you bet. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment.
