Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Home Run Picks Today (6/28)
Home runs win slates. Here's a quick look at the best long-ball bets for Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates before first pitch — and where each pays the most.
In Summary
- Brandon Lowe is the headline home run bet for Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates — best price +375 at PointsBet.
- We compared every sportsbook's "to hit a home run" price for this game; the table below shows where each play pays the most.
- Prices swing a lot book to book, so always take the best available number — it isn't an edge by itself (a great price on a -EV bet is still -EV), but on a play that's already +EV it's how you squeeze the most out of that edge.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Here are the top home run bets for Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates on June 28, 2026, with the best price on each across 100+ sportsbooks. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; the odds below are the best available right now, so shop them on the OddsShopper home run odds screen before you bet.
Best Home Run Bets for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (PIT) | +375 | PointsBet | 21.1% | 36 |
| JJ Bleday (CIN) | +450 | Bet365 | 18.2% | 36 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | +500 | BetMGM | 16.7% | 36 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | +500 | Bet365 | 16.7% | 36 |
| Eugenio Suárez (CIN) | +545 | NoVig | 15.5% | 35 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) | +750 | Bet365 | 11.8% | 28 |
| Henry Davis (PIT) | +750 | BetRivers | 11.8% | 29 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | +800 | Bovada | 11.1% | 30 |
The Top Play: Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe carries the shortest home run price in this game at +375 (21.1% implied), and the best number is at PointsBet across the 36 books pricing it. On a payout-driven market like home runs, the gap between the best and worst book is real money, so the number you take matters as much as the player you pick.
Best Value: JJ Bleday
For more payout, JJ Bleday is priced at +450 (18.2% implied), best at Bet365. Longer home run prices are high-variance by nature, so size these small and treat them as upside swings, not anchors.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- MoneyTrainSports on Tails likes Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+347).
- MoneyBadgerJake on Tails (#9 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Over 9 Total Runs (-110).
- John the Bettist on Tails likes JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+475).
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+434).
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-170).
- Prophet on Tails (#4 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Brady Singer Under 4.5 Total Strikeouts (+114).
- EMac on Tails likes Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Run Line (+167).
- JediModi on Tails likes Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+375).
- JediModi on Tails likes Endy Rodriguez Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+775).
- BrickByBrick on Tails likes Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140).
- BGrebbs on Tails likes JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+525).
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+650).
- ShanderBets on Tails likes Pittsburgh Pirates -1.0 Run Line (+155).
- MassMoneyline on Tails likes Cincinnati Reds Moneyline 1st5 (-130).
- FOTP on Tails (#10 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Cincinnati Reds 0 Moneyline 1st5 (-132).
- FOTP on Tails (#10 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Jared Jones Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-132).
- FOTP on Tails (#10 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Chase Burns Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (-133).
- JmetalK on Tails likes Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (-116).
More from these experts on Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates. BGrebbs, BrickByBrick, FOTP, JediModi, JmetalK, John the Bettist, MoneyBadgerJake, Prophet, Rebel Mickie, ShanderBets post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
- Size for variance. Home run props are longshots; keep the stakes small and play the long run.
New to OddsShopper? It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates today? Brandon Lowe at +375 (PointsBet) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
