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Updated July 9, 2026 · 3 min read by OddsShopper Staff

The OddsShopper staff covers betting strategy, odds, and value across every major market, turning the team’s data and sharp-market analysis into picks and guides bettors can actually use.

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FOTP posts free picks on Tails, the expert marketplace on OddsShopper, where 495 bettors follow their card. This page tracks every free play as it lands, with the sports and bet types they work, so you know exactly what you're following before you tap follow.
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Sports: NFL · NBA · NCAAF · NCAAB · MLB · NHL | Bet types: Game Lines · Player Props · Parlays · DFS
Free picks feed updated: 2026-07-09 15:08 ET. Newest first; every pick below was posted free on FOTP's Tails page.
2026-07-09: 🏆 FINAL MLB CARD 🥇 Tampa Bay Rays First 5 Run Line -0.5 (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 🥈 Reid Detmers OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) 🥉 Jesus Luzardo OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (+125) 4️⃣ Gavin Williams OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) → Tail this pick
2026-07-09: 🎯 Gavin Williams OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) MODEL PROJECTION - Projected Strikeouts: 6.8 - Model Probability: 62% - Fair Odds: -163 - Current Odds: -125 - Edge: +6.4% - Confidence: 8/10 WHY THIS MARKET Williams consistently generates swings and misses, making this a favorable strikeout prop at a modest number. KEY DRIVERS - Starting Pitcher Edge: 10.4 K/9 with 123 strikeouts in 106.1 innings. -… → Tail this pick
2026-07-09: 🎯 Jesus Luzardo OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (+125) MODEL PROJECTION - Projected Strikeouts: 8.3 - Model Probability: 55% - Fair Odds: -122 - Current Odds: +125 - Edge: +9.4% - Confidence: 8/10 WHY THIS MARKET Luzardo’s strikeout upside creates excellent plus-money value while avoiding bullpen volatility. KEY DRIVERS - Starting Pitcher Edge: 10.9 K/9 with 125 strikeouts in 103.1 innings. - Recent Form… → Tail this pick
2026-07-09: 🎯 Tampa Bay Rays First 5 Run Line -0.5 (-125) MODEL PROJECTION - Projected F5 Score: Rays 2.90 - Yankees 0.85 - Model Probability: 67.5% - Fair Odds: -207 - Current Odds: -125 - Edge: +7.5% - Confidence: 9/10 WHY THIS MARKET The First 5 Run Line isolates Tampa Bay’s massive starting pitching advantage while eliminating bullpen variance. KEY DRIVERS - Starting Pitching Edge: Drew Rasmussen owns… → Tail this pick
2026-07-09: 🎯 Reid Detmers OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) MODEL PROJECTION - Projected Strikeouts: 7.2 - Model Probability: 63% - Fair Odds: -170 - Current Odds: -125 - Edge: +7.4% - Confidence: 8.5/10 WHY THIS MARKET Pitcher strikeouts remain the highest-priority market. Detmers is underpriced despite elite swing-and-miss metrics, and this prop completely removes Angels bullpen variance. KEY DRIVERS -… → Tail this pick
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