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Updated June 29, 2026 · 4 min read by OddsShopper Staff

The OddsShopper staff covers betting strategy, odds, and value across every major market, turning the team’s data and sharp-market analysis into picks and guides bettors can actually use.

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Home runs win slates. Here's a quick look at the best long-ball bets for San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs before first pitch — and where each pays the most.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
"To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market. The table below is every hitter in San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs, with the best price and the book offering it right now — shop it before you bet.
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | +252 | Kalshi | 28.4% | 35 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | +266 | Kalshi | 27.3% | 35 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | +300 | PointsBet | 25.0% | 34 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | +325 | Bet365 | 23.5% | 35 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | +340 | Bovada | 22.7% | 34 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | +350 | Fanatics | 22.2% | 34 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | +390 | Bovada | 20.4% | 35 |
| Ty France (SD) | +402 | DraftKings | 19.9% | 26 |
The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
More from these experts on San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs. BGrebbs, JediModi, ShanderBets post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
New to OddsShopper? It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe: Start your free trial.
Who has the best home run odds for San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs today? Manny Machado at +252 (Kalshi) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.