In Summary
- James Wood is the headline home run bet for Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays — best price +313 at Kalshi.
- We compared every sportsbook's "to hit a home run" price for this game; the table below shows where each play pays the most.
- A home run prop's payout swings a lot book to book, so always take the best available number — that's the whole edge.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Here are the top home run bets for Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays on June 21, 2026, with the best price on each across 100+ sportsbooks. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; the odds below are the best available right now, so shop them on the OddsShopper home run odds screen before you bet.
Best Home Run Bets for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WSH) | +313 | Kalshi | 24.2% | 29 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | +400 | PointsBet | 20.0% | 29 |
| CJ Abrams (WSH) | +540 | BetRivers | 15.6% | 29 |
| Yandy Díaz (TB) | +610 | FanDuel | 14.1% | 29 |
| Curtis Mead (WSH) | +625 | Bet365 | 13.8% | 28 |
| Dylan Crews (WSH) | +625 | Kalshi | 13.8% | 28 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. (WSH) | +650 | Bet365 | 13.3% | 28 |
| Daylen Lile (WSH) | +755 | Kalshi | 11.7% | 28 |
The Top Play: James Wood
James Wood carries the shortest home run price in this game at +313 (24.2% implied), and the best number is at Kalshi across the 29 books pricing it. On a payout-driven market like home runs, the gap between the best and worst book is real money, so the number you take matters as much as the player you pick.
Best Value: Junior Caminero
For more payout, Junior Caminero is priced at +400 (20.0% implied), best at PointsBet. Longer home run prices are high-variance by nature, so size these small and treat them as upside swings, not anchors.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- MVPRO on Tails (1222-1166 graded record) likes Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+369).
- EMac on Tails (255-323 graded record) likes Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases (+630).
- Rounding Third on Tails likes Jonathan Deluca Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+882).
- BGrebbs on Tails (985-1203 graded record) likes James Wood Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+396).
- JediModi on Tails (553-1213 graded record) likes James Wood Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+360).
More from these experts on Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays. BGrebbs, JediModi, MVPRO, Rounding Third post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
- Size for variance. Home run props are longshots; keep the stakes small and play the long run.
New to OddsShopper?It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.
